贸易导致的职业热暴露相关风险的不公平分配。

Inequitable distribution of risks associated with occupational heat exposure driven by trade.

作者信息

Li Meng, Meng Bo, Geng Yong, Tong Fan, Gao Yuning, Yamano Norihiko, Lim Sunghun, Guilhoto Joaquim, Uno Kimiko, Chen Xiaohong

机构信息

School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.

Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization, Chiba, Japan.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2025 Jan 9;16(1):537. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-55483-5.

Abstract

The exposure to extreme heat at workplaces poses substantial threat to human effort and manual labour. This becomes more prominent due to the global dispersion of labour-intensive production activities via trade. We combine a climate model with an input-output model to quantify the risks associated with trade-related occupational extreme heat exposure. Here we show an 89% surge in trade-related labour exposure to extreme heat, escalating from 221.5 to 419.0 billion person-hours between 1995 and 2020. Lower-middle-income and low-income economies constituted 53.7% and 18.3% of global exposure but only 5.7% and 1.0% of global labour compensation. In countries highly susceptible to extreme heat conditions, workers perform tasks in heated conditions for up to about 50% of their working hours. The disproportionate trade effects in redistributing global benefits and costs leads to the inequality in heat exposure between developed and developing economies. In striving for equitable and safe work conditions, workers vulnerable to heat extremes in developing economies should be protected by climate adaptation infrastructure, given their critical roles in the global production system.

摘要

工作场所暴露于极端高温环境对人力和体力劳动构成了重大威胁。由于劳动密集型生产活动通过贸易在全球范围内分散,这一威胁变得更加突出。我们将气候模型与投入产出模型相结合,以量化与贸易相关的职业极端高温暴露所带来的风险。在此我们表明,与贸易相关的劳动力极端高温暴露激增了89%,从1995年至2020年间的2215亿人时升至4190亿人时。中低收入经济体和低收入经济体分别占全球暴露量的53.7%和18.3%,但在全球劳动报酬中仅占5.7%和1.0%。在极易受到极端高温条件影响的国家,工人们在高温环境下工作的时间长达其工作时长的50%左右。贸易在重新分配全球利益和成本方面的不均衡影响导致了发达经济体和发展中经济体在高温暴露方面的不平等。在努力实现公平和安全的工作条件时,鉴于发展中经济体中易受极端高温影响的工人在全球生产系统中的关键作用,他们应受到气候适应基础设施的保护。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6f1b/11718198/d6c8786f7034/41467_2024_55483_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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