Kim Tae Hoon, Chinthaginjala Ravikumar, Srinivasulu Asadi, Tera Sivarama Prasad, Rab Safia Obaidur
School of Information and Electronic Engineering, Zhejiang University of Science and Technology, No. 318, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
School of Information and Electronic Engineering and Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Biomedical Intelligent Computing Technology, Zhejiang University of Science and Technology, No. 318, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Mar 17;15(1):9121. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-92464-0.
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly accelerated the demand for accurate and efficient prediction models to support effective disease management, containment strategies, and informed decision-making. Predictive models capable of analyzing complex health data are essential for monitoring disease trends, evaluating risk factors, and optimizing resource allocation during the pandemic. Among various machine learning approaches, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have emerged as powerful tools due to their ability to process large volumes of high-dimensional health data, such as medical images, time-series data, and patient demographics, with impressive precision. This research seeks to systematically examine the challenges and limitations inherent in utilizing CNNs for COVID-19 health data prediction, offering a comprehensive perspective grounded in data science research. Key areas of investigation include issues related to data quality and availability, such as incomplete, noisy, and imbalanced datasets, which often hinder the training of robust models. Additionally, architectural constraints of CNNs, including their sensitivity to hyperparameter tuning and reliance on substantial computational resources, are explored as critical bottlenecks that impact scalability and efficiency. A significant focus is placed on generalization challenges, where models trained on specific datasets struggle to adapt to unseen data from diverse populations or clinical settings, limiting their applicability in real-world scenarios. The study further highlights a reported accuracy of 63%, underscoring the need for improved methodologies to enhance model performance and reliability. By addressing these challenges, this research aims to provide actionable insights and practical recommendations to optimize the use of CNNs for COVID-19 health data prediction. In particular, the study emphasizes the importance of incorporating advanced strategies such as transfer learning, data augmentation, and regularization techniques to overcome dataset limitations and enhance model robustness. The integration of multimodal approaches combining medical images with auxiliary data, such as patient demographics and laboratory results, is proposed to improve contextual understanding and diagnostic precision. Finally, the research underscores the necessity of interdisciplinary collaboration, leveraging domain expertise from data scientists, healthcare professionals, and epidemiologists to develop holistic solutions for tackling the complexities of COVID-19 prediction. By shedding light on the limitations and potential of CNNs in this domain, this study aims to guide researchers and practitioners in making informed decisions about model design, implementation, and optimization. Ultimately, it contributes to advancing AI-driven diagnostics and predictive modeling for COVID-19 and other public health crises, fostering the development of scalable and reliable tools for better healthcare outcomes.
新冠疫情显著加速了对准确高效预测模型的需求,以支持有效的疾病管理、防控策略和明智的决策制定。能够分析复杂健康数据的预测模型对于监测疾病趋势、评估风险因素以及在疫情期间优化资源分配至关重要。在各种机器学习方法中,卷积神经网络(CNN)因其能够以令人印象深刻的精度处理大量高维健康数据(如医学图像、时间序列数据和患者人口统计学数据)而成为强大的工具。本研究旨在系统地审视在利用CNN进行新冠健康数据预测时固有的挑战和局限性,从数据科学研究的角度提供全面的观点。主要研究领域包括与数据质量和可用性相关的问题,如不完整、有噪声和不平衡的数据集,这些往往会阻碍稳健模型的训练。此外,CNN的架构限制,包括其对超参数调整的敏感性以及对大量计算资源的依赖,被视为影响可扩展性和效率的关键瓶颈。一个重要的关注点是泛化挑战,即在特定数据集上训练的模型难以适应来自不同人群或临床环境的未见数据,限制了它们在实际场景中的适用性。该研究进一步强调报告的准确率为63%,凸显了改进方法以提高模型性能和可靠性的必要性。通过应对这些挑战,本研究旨在提供可操作的见解和实用建议,以优化CNN在新冠健康数据预测中的应用。特别是,该研究强调了纳入迁移学习、数据增强和正则化技术等先进策略以克服数据集限制并增强模型稳健性的重要性。建议整合将医学图像与辅助数据(如患者人口统计学数据和实验室结果)相结合的多模态方法,以改善背景理解和诊断精度。最后,该研究强调了跨学科合作的必要性,利用数据科学家、医疗保健专业人员和流行病学家的领域专业知识来开发应对新冠预测复杂性的整体解决方案。通过揭示CNN在该领域的局限性和潜力,本研究旨在指导研究人员和从业者在模型设计、实施和优化方面做出明智的决策。最终,它有助于推进针对新冠及其他公共卫生危机的人工智能驱动诊断和预测建模,促进开发可扩展且可靠的工具以实现更好 的医疗结果。