Shamma Samir, Hussein Mohamed Ali, El-Nahrery Eslam M A, Shahat Ahmed, Shoeib Tamer, Abdelnaser Anwar
Institute of Global Health and Human Ecology, School of Sciences and Engineering, The American University in Cairo, New Cairo, 11835, Egypt.
Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science, Suez University, Suez, Egypt.
Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 11;15(1):12501. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-94827-z.
Exposure to organochlorine pesticides (OCPs) poses significant health risks, including cancer, endocrine dysregulation, neurological disorders, and reproductive disruption. This study investigates the association between OCP exposure and thyroid disturbances using machine learning (ML) models. Blood samples were analyzed for the concentration of 16 OCPs and thyroid hormones (T3, T4, TSH) using traditional methods such as Logistic Regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and more advanced ML models such as Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), XGBoost, and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM). High frequencies of OCPs, including Heptachlor, Heptachlor epoxide, γ-HCH, Aldrin, Endrin aldehyde, α-endosulfan, and Methoxychlor, were detected in over 70% of serum samples. The RF and GBM models achieved the highest accuracy at 90.91%, while XGBoost demonstrated a high ROC-AUC score of 94.02%. The SVM model also showed robust performance, whereas Logistic Regression exhibited weaker results. Our findings highlighted specific OCPs, such as Methoxychlor, p,p-DDT, Heptachlor, Endrin, and various HCH isomers, could impact thyroid function. The study supports a strong correlation between OCP exposure and thyroid dysfunction, demonstrating high accuracy in classifying thyroid status using ML models. Significant OCPs identified include p, p-DDT, Methoxychlor, Endrin, β-endosulfan, and Heptachlor, which are associated with thyroid dysfunction.
接触有机氯农药(OCPs)会带来重大健康风险,包括癌症、内分泌失调、神经紊乱和生殖功能障碍。本研究使用机器学习(ML)模型调查OCP暴露与甲状腺紊乱之间的关联。采用逻辑回归和最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)等传统方法以及随机森林(RF)、支持向量机(SVM)、XGBoost和梯度提升机(GBM)等更先进的ML模型,对血液样本中的16种OCPs和甲状腺激素(T3、T4、TSH)浓度进行了分析。在超过70%的血清样本中检测到高频率的OCPs,包括七氯、环氧七氯、γ-六氯环己烷、艾氏剂、异狄氏醛、α-硫丹和甲氧滴滴涕。RF和GBM模型的准确率最高,为90.91%,而XGBoost的ROC-AUC得分高达94.02%。SVM模型也表现出稳健的性能,而逻辑回归的结果则较弱。我们的研究结果突出了特定的OCPs,如甲氧滴滴涕、p,p-滴滴涕、七氯、异狄氏剂和各种六氯环己烷异构体,可能会影响甲状腺功能。该研究支持OCP暴露与甲状腺功能障碍之间存在强相关性,证明使用ML模型对甲状腺状态进行分类具有很高的准确性。确定的重要OCPs包括p,p-滴滴涕、甲氧滴滴涕、异狄氏剂、β-硫丹和七氯,它们与甲状腺功能障碍有关。