Yan Xin, Li Jian, Sun Yanan, De Souza Robert
College of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China.
Research Base of Beijing Modern Manufacturing Development, Beijing 100124, China.
Fundam Res. 2023 Dec 29;5(2):496-504. doi: 10.1016/j.fmre.2023.10.019. eCollection 2025 Mar.
Supply chain disruptions, including trade disputes, regional conflicts, and the COVID-19 pandemic, have highlighted the importance of supply chain resilience. This study focuses on investment decisions related to supply chain resilience, including considerations of supply disruptions, demand surges, and demand time sensitivity. The study uses a Stackelberg game model, with the retailer as the leader and the supplier as the follower, to analyze and compare optimal strategies for supply chain participants under different levels of risk. The results show that the severity of risk events impacts the optimal retail price, optimal wholesale price, supply chain recovery time, and expected profits for each participant. The investment in supply capacity enhancement not only expands the ability to meet demand but also encourages suppliers to expedite supply chain recovery, elevate demand fulfillment rates, and enhance the overall return on investment in supply chain resilience. As a result, the resilience of the entire supply chain is fortified. Similarly, it has been found that centralized decision-making leads to lower prices, shorter recovery times and greater supply chain resilience than decentralized decision-making. This study offers theoretical underpinning for corporations to effectively address risky occurrences, ensure supply security, enhance supply chain resilience, and imparts support for governments involved in humanitarian relief efforts.
供应链中断,包括贸易争端、地区冲突和新冠疫情,凸显了供应链韧性的重要性。本研究聚焦于与供应链韧性相关的投资决策,包括对供应中断、需求激增和需求时间敏感性的考量。该研究采用斯塔克尔伯格博弈模型,以零售商为领导者、供应商为跟随者,分析和比较不同风险水平下供应链参与者的最优策略。结果表明,风险事件的严重程度会影响最优零售价格、最优批发价格、供应链恢复时间以及每个参与者的预期利润。增强供应能力的投资不仅能扩大满足需求的能力,还能促使供应商加快供应链恢复、提高需求满足率并提升供应链韧性投资的总体回报率。因此,整个供应链的韧性得到加强。同样,研究发现,与分散决策相比,集中决策会带来更低的价格、更短的恢复时间和更强的供应链韧性。本研究为企业有效应对风险事件、确保供应安全、增强供应链韧性提供了理论支撑,并为参与人道主义救援工作的政府提供了支持。