Chapman Melissa, Jung Martin, Leclère David, Boettiger Carl, Augustynczik Andrey L D, Gusti Mykola, Ringwald Leopold, Visconti Piero
Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Nat Ecol Evol. 2025 May;9(5):810-821. doi: 10.1038/s41559-025-02671-1. Epub 2025 Apr 28.
The European Union is committed to achieving ambitious area-based conservation and restoration targets in the upcoming decade. However, there is concern that these targets risk conflicting with socioeconomic needs, particularly for food, timber and bioenergy production. Here we develop an integrated spatial planning approach to identify where restoration, conservation and production allocation could maximize benefits to species conservation and climate mitigation, while acknowledging future land demands of the bio-economy. We show that, while changing production demands risk driving further biodiversity loss by 2030, when these demands are met alongside strategic restoration measures, as outlined by the EU Nature Restoration Regulation, future landscapes could improve the conservation status of populations for more than 20% of species of conservation concern while also increasing terrestrial carbon stocks. Our analysis demonstrates how critical the Nature Restoration Regulation is to achieving biodiversity targets and how integrated planning can align biodiversity policy objectives with future socioeconomic demands.
欧盟致力于在未来十年实现雄心勃勃的基于区域的保护和恢复目标。然而，人们担心这些目标可能与社会经济需求相冲突，特别是在粮食、木材和生物能源生产方面。在此，我们开发了一种综合空间规划方法，以确定恢复、保护和生产分配在何处能够最大程度地有利于物种保护和气候缓解，同时考虑到生物经济未来的土地需求。我们表明，虽然不断变化的生产需求可能在2030年前导致生物多样性进一步丧失，但如果按照欧盟《自然恢复条例》概述的那样，在采取战略恢复措施的同时满足这些需求，未来的景观可以改善超过20%的受保护物种的种群保护状况，同时还能增加陆地碳储量。我们的分析表明，《自然恢复条例》对于实现生物多样性目标至关重要，以及综合规划如何能够使生物多样性政策目标与未来社会经济需求保持一致。
