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全球陆地增加碳储存的潜力。

The global potential for increased storage of carbon on land.

机构信息

Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA 02540.

The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA 22203.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Jun 7;119(23):e2111312119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2111312119. Epub 2022 May 31.

Abstract

Constraining the climate crisis requires urgent action to reduce anthropogenic emissions while simultaneously removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Improved information about the maximum magnitude and spatial distribution of opportunities for additional land-based removals of CO2 is needed to guide on-the-ground decision-making about where to implement climate change mitigation strategies. Here, we present a globally consistent spatial dataset (approximately 500-m resolution) of current, potential, and unrealized potential carbon storage in woody plant biomass and soil organic matter. We also provide a framework for prioritizing actions related to the restoration, management, and maintenance of woody carbon stocks and associated soils. By comparing current to potential carbon storage, while excluding areas critical to food production and human habitation, we find 287 petagrams (PgC) of unrealized potential storage opportunity, of which 78% (224 PgC) is in biomass and 22% (63 PgC) is in soil. Improved management of existing forests may offer nearly three-fourths (206 PgC) of the total unrealized potential, with the majority (71%) concentrated in tropical ecosystems. However, climate change is a source of considerable uncertainty. While additional research is needed to understand the impact of natural disturbances and biophysical feedbacks, we project that the potential for additional carbon storage in woody biomass will increase (+17%) by 2050 despite projected decreases (−12%) in the tropics. Our results establish an absolute reference point and conceptual framework for national and jurisdictional prioritization of locations and actions to increase land-based carbon storage.

摘要

限制气候危机需要紧急采取行动,减少人为排放,同时从大气中去除二氧化碳。为了指导实地决策,需要更好地了解额外的陆地碳去除机会的最大规模和空间分布,以确定在哪里实施气候变化缓解战略。在这里,我们提供了一个具有全球一致性的空间数据集(约 500 米分辨率),其中包含当前、潜在和未实现的 Woody 植物生物量和土壤有机质碳储存的机会。我们还提供了一个框架,用于优先考虑与 Woody 碳储量和相关土壤的恢复、管理和维护有关的行动。通过将当前的碳储存与潜在的碳储存进行比较,同时排除对粮食生产和人类居住至关重要的区域,我们发现有 287 百万吨(PgC)未实现的潜在储存机会,其中 78%(224 PgC)在生物量中,22%(63 PgC)在土壤中。改进现有森林的管理可能提供近四分之三(206 PgC)的总未实现潜力,其中大部分(71%)集中在热带生态系统中。然而,气候变化是一个相当大的不确定性来源。虽然需要进一步研究来了解自然干扰和生物物理反馈的影响,但我们预计,尽管热带地区预计会减少(-12%),但 Woody 生物质中额外碳储存的潜力将增加(+17%)到 2050 年。我们的研究结果为增加基于陆地的碳储存的地点和行动的国家和管辖优先级确定了一个绝对参考点和概念框架。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1a53/9191349/9dbbb0594d4b/pnas.2111312119fig01.jpg

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