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中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值对慢性阻塞性肺疾病患者全因死亡率的预测价值:一项系统评价和荟萃分析

Predictive value of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio for all-cause mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

作者信息

Fang Li, Zhu Jianzhi, Fu Dandan

机构信息

The Second Affiliated Hospital of ZunYi Medical University, Guizhou, China.

出版信息

BMC Pulm Med. 2025 Apr 29;25(1):206. doi: 10.1186/s12890-025-03677-y.

DOI:10.1186/s12890-025-03677-y
PMID:40301774
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12039089/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) involves inflammation as a key factor influencing its pathology and progression. This meta-analysis sought to assess the prognostic importance of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in individuals diagnosed with COPD.

METHODS

Comprehensive searches were carried out in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library up to March 2025. All-cause mortality-related data were collected and analyzed. Outcomes were evaluated using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Following a thorough review of the literature and a rigorous screening process, a total of 24 studies including 18,597 patients were selected for this meta-analysis. The cut-off range of NLR in all included literatures was 1.3 to 16.83. Analysis of categorical variables showed that COPD patients with elevated NLR levels faced a significantly higher all-cause mortality risk compared to those with lower NLR levels (OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.06, P = 0.009, I² = 89%). For continuous variables, deceased COPD patients exhibited significantly elevated NLR levels compared to survivors (SMD: 1.23, 95% CI: 0.90-1.57, P < 0.00001, I² = 97%). The subgroup analysis highlighted study design and the timing of NLR measurement as potential contributors to heterogeneity. Subgroup analysis showed that NLR had a better predictive value for disease in AECOPD subgroups.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis demonstrates a correlation between increased NLR levels and heightened all-cause mortality risk in COPD patients. Nevertheless, given the inherent limitations of this study, additional multi-center, prospective clinical trials are essential to confirm these findings.

摘要

背景

慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)涉及炎症,这是影响其病理和进展的关键因素。本荟萃分析旨在评估中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)在COPD诊断个体中的预后重要性。

方法

截至2025年3月,在PubMed、Embase、Web of Science和Cochrane图书馆进行了全面检索。收集并分析了全因死亡率相关数据。使用比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(CI)评估结果。

结果

经过对文献的全面审查和严格筛选过程,本荟萃分析共纳入24项研究,涉及18597例患者。所有纳入文献中NLR的截断范围为1.3至16.83。分类变量分析表明,与NLR水平较低的COPD患者相比,NLR水平升高的患者全因死亡风险显著更高(OR:1.03,95%CI:1.01 - 1.06,P = 0.009,I² = 89%)。对于连续变量,与幸存者相比,死亡的COPD患者NLR水平显著升高(标准化均值差:1.23,95%CI:0.90 - 1.57,P < 0.00001,I² = 97%)。亚组分析强调研究设计和NLR测量时间是异质性的潜在因素。亚组分析表明,NLR在慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重(AECOPD)亚组中对疾病具有更好的预测价值。

结论

本荟萃分析表明,COPD患者NLR水平升高与全因死亡风险增加之间存在相关性。然而,鉴于本研究的固有局限性,需要额外进行多中心、前瞻性临床试验来证实这些发现。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8df/12039089/92c9886ea200/12890_2025_3677_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8df/12039089/f5b94e9a7040/12890_2025_3677_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8df/12039089/3d456608cfcb/12890_2025_3677_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8df/12039089/6bc519893582/12890_2025_3677_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8df/12039089/92c9886ea200/12890_2025_3677_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8df/12039089/f5b94e9a7040/12890_2025_3677_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8df/12039089/3d456608cfcb/12890_2025_3677_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8df/12039089/6bc519893582/12890_2025_3677_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8df/12039089/92c9886ea200/12890_2025_3677_Fig4_HTML.jpg

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The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among United States adults with COPD: results from NHANES 1999-2018.
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Front Immunol. 2024 Aug 9;15:1404615. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2024.1404615. eCollection 2024.
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