Chen Anqi, Liu Biyu, Zhou Rui, Zhang Hui, Zhou Lan, Xie Xizhu, Zhuo Zhihang, Xu Danping
College of Life Science, China West Normal University, Nanchong 637002, China.
Insects. 2025 Apr 9;16(4):396. doi: 10.3390/insects16040396.
is a National Grade II Protected Animal in China, and predicting its suitable habitats in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River is crucial for developing effective conservation strategies. This study uses methods such as the MaxEnt model to predict suitable habitats for in the region, providing a scientific basis for species conservation. The model results show that the AUC value of MaxEnt is 0.989, indicating excellent predictive performance. Under current climatic conditions, the area of highly suitable habitats for in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River is 75.1 × 10 km, accounting for 8.8% of the total area of the region. However, under the SSP2-4.5 climate scenario, the predicted results indicate a general decline in suitable habitats for the species. This change signals that the survival of will face significant risks in the future, highlighting the urgent need to develop and implement scientifically effective conservation measures.
它是中国国家二级保护动物，预测其在长江中下游的适宜栖息地对于制定有效的保护策略至关重要。本研究运用MaxEnt模型等方法预测该地区[物种名称]的适宜栖息地，为物种保护提供科学依据。模型结果显示，MaxEnt的AUC值为0.989，表明预测性能优异。在当前气候条件下，长江中下游[物种名称]的高度适宜栖息地面积为75.1×10平方千米，占该地区总面积的8.8%。然而，在SSP2 - 4.5气候情景下，预测结果表明该物种的适宜栖息地总体呈下降趋势。这一变化表明[物种名称]的生存未来将面临重大风险，凸显了制定和实施科学有效保护措施的迫切需求。
需注意，原文中部分关键物种名称缺失，以上翻译是基于补充完整后的假设进行的。
