Zhou Zhe, He Jiang, Ren Jing, Li Yan, Su Chen, Zhang Xiaoyu, Shao Yijia, Xia Wenhao, Wang Yan, Wu Fang, Tao Jun
First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Department of Hypertension and Vascular Disease, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
BMJ Open. 2025 May 12;15(5):e093052. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-093052.
Biological age assessed by the Klemera and Doubal method (KDM) and phenotypic age (PhenoAge) was considered as a marker for ageing-related outcomes because it reflects different aspects of biological ageing and health, which are associated with increased risk of death. proBNPage based on N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a novel index for biological age estimation. However, the independence of its relationship with clinical outcomes from established risk factors, KDM or PhenoAge remains uncertain. Their identification could provide valuable information to prognosis.
DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This study analysed data from the general population included in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Participants who took part in the cross-sectional survey from 1999 to 2004 were included, and all-cause as well as cardiovascular mortality was recorded (up to 31 December 2019).
All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were considered as outcomes. Clinical risk factors were collected, and biological age was estimated by proBNPage, KDM and PhenoAge. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the relationship between proBNPage and outcomes with adjustment for risk factors or other biological age indexes. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis based on multivariate Cox regressions was performed to examine whether there was a non-linear relationship between proBNPage and outcomes.
A total of 9 925 participants were included in this study. The association between proBNPage and outcomes remained significant after adjusting for risk factors, including NT-proBNP (for all-cause mortality, HR 1.14; 95% CI 1.10 to 1.17; for cardiovascular mortality, HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.14 to 1.27). Similar results were obtained after adjusting for KDM plus NT-proBNP (for all-cause mortality, HR 1.31; 95% CI 1.22 to 1.41; for cardiovascular mortality, HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.11 to 1.28) or PhenoAge plus NT-proBNP (for all-cause mortality, HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.16 to 1.28; for cardiovascular mortality, HR 1.35; 95% CI 1.24 to 1.47). These findings were confirmed in most subgroups. A non-linear relationship was observed between proBNPage and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality with an inflection point.
A non-linear positive relationship was observed between proBNPage and clinical outcomes. After adjusting for established risk factors and other biological age estimation indices (KDM or PhenoAge), proBNPage was significantly associated with mortality. The results remain similar after further adjustment for NT-proBNP. These results suggest that proBNPage is a useful surrogate for biological age estimation.
通过克莱梅拉和杜巴尔方法(KDM)评估的生物学年龄和表型年龄(PhenoAge)被视为衰老相关结局的标志物,因为它反映了生物衰老和健康的不同方面,而这些方面与死亡风险增加相关。基于N端前B型利钠肽(NT-proBNP)的proBNPage是一种用于生物学年龄估计的新指标。然而,其与临床结局的关系相对于既定风险因素、KDM或PhenoAge的独立性仍不确定。对它们的识别可为预后提供有价值的信息。
设计、设置和参与者:本研究分析了美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)中纳入的一般人群的数据。纳入了1999年至2004年参加横断面调查的参与者,并记录了全因死亡率以及心血管死亡率(截至2019年12月31日)。
将全因死亡率和心血管死亡率视为结局。收集临床风险因素,并通过proBNPage、KDM和PhenoAge估计生物学年龄。使用Cox比例风险模型确定proBNPage与结局之间的关系,并对风险因素或其他生物学年龄指标进行调整。基于多变量Cox回归进行受限立方样条(RCS)分析,以检查proBNPage与结局之间是否存在非线性关系。
本研究共纳入9925名参与者。在对包括NT-proBNP在内的风险因素进行调整后,proBNPage与结局之间的关联仍然显著(全因死亡率,HR 1.14;95%CI 1.10至1.17;心血管死亡率,HR1.20;95%CI 1.14至1.27)。在对KDM加NT-proBNP(全因死亡率,HR 1.31;95%CI 1.22至1.41;心血管死亡率,HR 1.21;95%CI 1.11至1.28)或PhenoAge加NT-proBNP进行调整后,也获得了类似结果(全因死亡率,HR 1.21;95%CI 1.16至1.28;心血管死亡率,HR 1.35;95%CI 1.24至1.47)。这些发现在大多数亚组中得到证实。观察到proBNPage与全因死亡率和心血管死亡率之间存在非线性关系且有一个拐点。
观察到proBNPage与临床结局之间存在非线性正相关关系。在对既定风险因素和其他生物学年龄估计指标(KDM或PhenoAge)进行调整后,proBNPage与死亡率显著相关。在进一步对NT-proBNP进行调整后,结果仍然相似。这些结果表明proBNPage是生物学年龄估计的一个有用替代指标。