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探索影响足球比赛中犯规次数的因素。

Exploring factors influencing number of fouls in soccer.

作者信息

Liu Xuan, Zuo Yuxin, Aslam Hamza Saghir, Kim Seungmo, Fu Ming

机构信息

Department of Sports and Health Sciences, Hong Kong Baptist University, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Department of Health and Physical Education, The Education University of Hong Kong, Tai Po, Hong Kong SAR, China.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2025 May 20;16:1510928. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2025.1510928. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

Fouls are common events in soccer games, and their occurrence is influenced by a number of factors. Based on data from the Amisco Pro semi-automated computer tracking system, this study explores factor influencing the numbers of fouls in soccer such as referees' running distance, foul decision distance, team strength difference, various temperature conditions, and league stages. A total of 480 soccer games from the 2018 and 2019 Chinese Super League were collected. Multiple linear regression and one-way ANOVA were employed for statistical analysis, with the significance level set at < 0.05. The results showed that referees' running distance had a significant negative influence on the number of fouls, with = 0.078. However, foul decision distance and the strength difference between teams were not significantly correlated with the number of fouls. Matches played in cool conditions (COOL, temperature < 20.0°C) had significantly more fouls than those played in hot (HOT, 25.1-30.0°C) and very hot (VHOT, >30.0°C) conditions. In contrast, no significant differences in the number of fouls were found between WARM (29.63 ± 6.72) and HOT (25.1-30.0°C) or VHOT (>30.0°C) with > 0.05. In addition, Stage 1 had significantly fewer fouls than stage 2, with < 0.05. On the other hand, no significant differences were found between Stage 1 and Stage 3 and between Stage 2 and Stage 3 ( > 0.05). This study highlights the impact of referees' active running on reducing the number of fouls in soccer, as well as the differences in number of fouls under various temperature conditions and stages. The findings provide insightful information for referees and the management department to anticipate the frequency of fouls and develop strategies to reduce fouls, thereby improving game quality. Future studies could explore the effects of additional environmental factors, such as stadium attendance and running track on the number of fouls.

摘要

犯规是足球比赛中的常见事件,其发生受到多种因素的影响。基于Amisco Pro半自动计算机跟踪系统的数据,本研究探讨了影响足球比赛中犯规次数的因素,如裁判的跑动距离、犯规判罚距离、球队实力差距、不同温度条件以及联赛阶段。收集了2018年和2019年中国超级联赛的480场足球比赛。采用多元线性回归和单因素方差分析进行统计分析,显著性水平设定为<0.05。结果表明,裁判的跑动距离对犯规次数有显著的负面影响,β = 0.078。然而,犯规判罚距离和球队之间的实力差距与犯规次数没有显著相关性。在凉爽条件下(COOL,温度<20.0°C)进行的比赛比在炎热(HOT,25.1 - 30.0°C)和非常炎热(VHOT,>30.0°C)条件下进行的比赛犯规次数显著更多。相比之下,温暖(WARM,29.63±6.72)与炎热(25.1 - 30.0°C)或非常炎热(>30.0°C)条件下的犯规次数没有显著差异,P>0.05。此外,第1阶段的犯规次数明显少于第2阶段,P<0.05。另一方面,第1阶段和第3阶段之间以及第2阶段和第3阶段之间没有发现显著差异(P>0.05)。本研究强调了裁判积极跑动对减少足球比赛中犯规次数的影响,以及不同温度条件和阶段下犯规次数的差异。这些发现为裁判和管理部门提供了有价值的信息,以便预测犯规频率并制定减少犯规的策略,从而提高比赛质量。未来的研究可以探讨其他环境因素,如体育场观众人数和跑道对犯规次数的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6d83/12131515/98f706c916c8/fpsyg-16-1510928-g0001.jpg

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