Labidi Mohamed Ali
Laboratory of Valorization of Natural and Cultural Heritage, University of Jendouba, Jendouba, Tunisia.
J Knowl Econ. 2023;14(1):20-34. doi: 10.1007/s13132-021-00875-x. Epub 2022 Jan 7.
The consequences of COVID-19 vary considerably from country to country and from sector to sector. In this paper, we examine how employment in sectors of Tunisian economy is being affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, we apply the Markov chain approach. This method has the merit to model a system that changes states according to a transition rule that depends only on the current state. We find that the COVID-19 have a negative impact on the employment in industry and in service. Moreover, the agricultural sector benefits most from COVID-19. It is important to plan for economic measures in order to support the resilience of economic establishments, particularly small- and medium-sized enterprises.
新冠疫情的后果在不同国家和不同部门之间有很大差异。在本文中,我们研究了突尼斯经济各部门的就业情况如何受到新冠疫情的影响。为此,我们应用马尔可夫链方法。这种方法的优点是能够对一个根据仅依赖于当前状态的转移规则改变状态的系统进行建模。我们发现,新冠疫情对工业和服务业的就业有负面影响。此外,农业部门从新冠疫情中受益最大。为支持经济机构,特别是中小企业的恢复力而规划经济措施很重要。