Yang Xue, Wang Hao, Lu Hui
Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety and Emergency Prevention and Control Technology of Higher Education Institutions in Jiangsu Province, Department of Social Medicine and Health Education, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing 211166, China.
Healthcare (Basel). 2025 May 29;13(11):1293. doi: 10.3390/healthcare13111293.
Emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases (EIDs and Re-EIDs) cause significant economic crises and public health problems worldwide. Epidemics appear to be more frequent, complex, and harder to prevent. Early warning systems can significantly reduce outbreak response times, contributing to better patient outcomes. Improving early warning systems and methods might be one of the most effective responses. This study employs a bibliometric analysis to dissect the global research hotspots and evolutionary trends in the field of infectious disease early warning, with the aim of providing guidance for optimizing public health emergency management strategies. : Publications related to the role of early warning systems in detecting and responding to infectious disease outbreaks from 1999 to 2024 were retrieved from the Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC) database. CiteSpace software was used to analyze the datasets and generate knowledge visualization maps. : A total of 798 relevant publications are included. The number of annual publications has sharply increased since 2000. The USA produced the highest number of publications and established the most extensive cooperation relationships. The Chinese Center for Disease Control & Prevention was the most productive institution. Drake, John M was the most prolific author, while the World Health Organization and AHMED W were the most cited authors. The top two cited references mainly focused on wastewater surveillance of SARS-CoV-2. The most common keywords were "infectious disease", "outbreak", "transmission", "virus", and "climate change". The basic keyword "climate" ranked the first and long duration with the strongest citation burst. "SARS-CoV-2", "One Health", "early warning system", "artificial intelligence (AI)", and "wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE)" were emerging research foci. : Over the past two decades, research on early warning of infectious diseases has focused on climate change, influenza, SARS, virus, machine learning, warning signals and systems, artificial intelligence, and so on. Current research hotspots include wastewater-based epidemiology, sewage, One Health, and artificial intelligence, as well as the early warning and monitoring of COVID-19. Research foci in this area have evolved from focusing on climate-disease interactions to pathogen monitoring systems, and ultimately to the "One Health" integrated framework. Our research findings underscore the imperative for public health policymakers to prioritize investments in real-time surveillance infrastructure, particularly wastewater-based epidemiology and AI-driven predictive models, and strengthen interdisciplinary collaboration frameworks under the One Health paradigm. Developing an integrated human-animal-environment monitoring system will serve as a critical development direction for early warning systems for epidemics.
新发和再发传染病在全球范围内引发了重大经济危机和公共卫生问题。疫情似乎更加频繁、复杂,且更难预防。早期预警系统可以显著缩短疫情应对时间,有助于改善患者预后。改进早期预警系统和方法可能是最有效的应对措施之一。本研究采用文献计量分析方法剖析传染病早期预警领域的全球研究热点和演变趋势,旨在为优化公共卫生应急管理策略提供指导。:从科学引文索引核心合集(WoSCC)数据库中检索了1999年至2024年期间与早期预警系统在检测和应对传染病疫情中的作用相关的出版物。使用CiteSpace软件对数据集进行分析并生成知识可视化图谱。:共纳入798篇相关出版物。自2000年以来,年出版物数量急剧增加。美国的出版物数量最多,建立的合作关系最为广泛。中国疾病预防控制中心是产出最多的机构。德雷克·约翰·M是发文量最多的作者,而世界卫生组织和艾哈迈德·W是被引次数最多的作者。被引次数最多的前两篇参考文献主要聚焦于新冠病毒的废水监测。最常见的关键词是“传染病”“疫情”“传播”“病毒”和“气候变化”。基本关键词“气候”排名第一,持续时间长且引文爆发强度最大。“新冠病毒”“同一健康”“早期预警系统”“人工智能(AI)”和“基于废水的流行病学(WBE)”是新兴的研究热点。:在过去二十年中,传染病早期预警研究聚焦于气候变化、流感、非典、病毒、机器学习、预警信号和系统、人工智能等。当前的研究热点包括基于废水的流行病学、污水、同一健康和人工智能,以及新冠疫情的早期预警和监测。该领域的研究重点已从关注气候与疾病的相互作用演变为病原体监测系统,最终发展为“同一健康”综合框架。我们的研究结果强调,公共卫生政策制定者必须优先投资于实时监测基础设施,特别是基于废水的流行病学和人工智能驱动的预测模型,并加强同一健康范式下的跨学科合作框架。开发一个综合的人类 - 动物 - 环境监测系统将成为疫情早期预警系统的关键发展方向。