Mhd Yunin Nor Safiahani, Tan Toh Leong
Department of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia.
PLoS One. 2025 Jun 16;20(6):e0326058. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0326058. eCollection 2025.
The National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) has been widely adopted to assess the severity of illness across various healthcare settings. However, its effectiveness as a prognostic tool specifically within the Emergency Department (ED) has not been validated in Malaysia. This retrospective observational study aimed to evaluate the performance of NEWS2 in predicting hospitalizations, critical care unit admissions, and in-hospital mortality among adult patients in a Malaysian ED, specifically at the Hospital Canselor Tuanku Muhriz. The discriminatory ability of NEWS2 was analysed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. A total of 1906 adult patients were included in the study, with results indicating that NEWS2 demonstrated moderate to excellent performance in predicting outcomes. The AUROC values were 0.71 for hospitalization, 0.75 for critical care admission, and 0.86 for in-hospital mortality. Additionally, subgroup analyses for patients with sepsis and those with COVID-19 were also conducted. NEWS2 score however was not as effective in predicting critical outcomes for these two subgroups, limiting its utility as an early warning tool in diverse clinical scenarios. Overall, the results suggest that NEWS2 is a valuable tool for early risk stratification in the general adult population in the ED. Implementing NEWS2 into routine clinical practice could significantly enhance patient outcomes by promoting timely and informed decision-making, ultimately benefiting both patients and healthcare providers.
国家早期预警评分2(NEWS2)已被广泛用于评估各种医疗环境下的疾病严重程度。然而,其作为一种预后工具在马来西亚急诊科(ED)的有效性尚未得到验证。这项回顾性观察研究旨在评估NEWS2在马来西亚一家急诊科(特别是在敦库·穆赫里兹总理医院)预测成年患者住院、重症监护病房收治情况及院内死亡率方面的表现。使用受试者工作特征曲线下面积分析NEWS2的辨别能力。共有1906名成年患者纳入该研究,结果表明NEWS2在预测结果方面表现出中等至优秀的性能。住院预测的曲线下面积值为0.71,重症监护病房收治预测为0.75,院内死亡率预测为0.86。此外,还对脓毒症患者和新冠肺炎患者进行了亚组分析。然而,NEWS2评分在预测这两个亚组的严重结局方面效果不佳,限制了其在不同临床场景中作为早期预警工具的效用。总体而言,结果表明NEWS2是急诊科成年普通人群早期风险分层的有价值工具。将NEWS2应用于常规临床实践可通过促进及时且明智的决策显著改善患者结局,最终使患者和医疗服务提供者均受益。