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男性乳腺癌负担的分析与比较:全球、中国、印度和美国之间的差异

Analysis and comparison of the burden of male breast cancer: differences between the global, China, India, and the United States.

作者信息

An Baiping, Che Mengqi, Liu Yuxin, Yang Xinrong, Li Zhuohong

机构信息

Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No. 39 Shi-er-Qiao Road, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610072, P. R. China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2025 Jul 2;25(1):2205. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-23120-5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Male breast cancer (MBC) is characterized by an older onset age, a higher histological grade, a later TNM stage, and a worse prognosis compared to female breast cancer. This places considerable pressure on global health systems. This study reviewed the trends of MBC burden in China, the United States of America, India, and worldwide from 1990 to 2021.

METHODS

Data was obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study. The Joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) and the average annual percentage change (AAPC). In addition, the age-period-cohort (APC) model was employed to explore the effects of age, period, and cohort on CRC mortality. Through decomposition analysis and health inequality assessment, the study explores the influence of aging, population, epidemiological changes, and income inequality on shifts in the disease burden.

RESULTS

The number of MBC incidence and death cases has nearly tripled in the last three decades. In addition, Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) increased from 0.525 per 100,000 (95%CI: 0.460-0.603) in 1990 to 0.941 per 100,000 (95%CI: 0.605-1.155) in 2021. According to the Joinpoint model, the global average annual percentage change (AAPC) in the burden of MBC incidence and mortality from 1990 to 2021 was positive. Meanwhile, among the three countries evaluated, only the United States had a negative AAPC. Similarly, using the APC model, the net drift of incidence and mortality in the United States was - 1.081% [95% CI: (-1.400%, -0.7617%)] and - 1.360% [95% CI: (-2.464%, -0.2441%)]. The decomposition analysis revealed that epidemiological changes exerted the most significant influence on the global, Chinese, and Indian cases, accounting for 47.17%, 65.44%, and 50.44% respectively. On Health Inequities research shows that between 1990 and 2021, health inequities between different locations have shown a downward trend.

CONCLUSIONS

The United States, a representative of high SDI countries, has shown an overall reduction in the burden of MBC. India and China have both experienced an increase in the burden of MBC since 1990. Health organizations in different regions should take active steps to reduce the worrisome burden of MBC.

摘要

背景

与女性乳腺癌相比,男性乳腺癌(MBC)具有发病年龄较大、组织学分级较高、TNM分期较晚以及预后较差的特点。这给全球卫生系统带来了相当大的压力。本研究回顾了1990年至2021年中国、美国、印度以及全球范围内MBC负担的趋势。

方法

数据来自《2021年全球疾病负担》(GBD)研究。采用Joinpoint回归模型计算年度百分比变化(APC)和平均年度百分比变化(AAPC)。此外,使用年龄-时期-队列(APC)模型探讨年龄、时期和队列对结直肠癌死亡率的影响。通过分解分析和健康不平等评估,本研究探讨了老龄化、人口、流行病学变化和收入不平等对疾病负担变化的影响。

结果

在过去三十年中,MBC的发病和死亡病例数几乎增加了两倍。此外,年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)从1990年的每10万人0.525例(95%CI:0.460-0.603)增加到2021年的每10万人0.941例(95%CI:0.605-1.155)。根据Joinpoint模型,1990年至2021年全球MBC发病和死亡负担的平均年度百分比变化(AAPC)为正值。同时,在评估的三个国家中,只有美国的AAPC为负值。同样,使用APC模型,美国发病率和死亡率的净漂移分别为-1.081%[95%CI:(-1.400%,-0.7617%)]和-1.360%[95%CI:(-2.464%,-0.2441%)]。分解分析显示,流行病学变化对全球、中国和印度的病例影响最为显著,分别占47.17%、65.44%和50.44%。关于健康不平等的研究表明,1990年至2021年期间,不同地区之间的健康不平等呈下降趋势。

结论

作为高社会人口指数(SDI)国家的代表,美国MBC负担总体有所下降。自1990年以来,印度和中国的MBC负担均有所增加。不同地区的卫生组织应积极采取措施,减轻令人担忧的MBC负担。

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