Junhai Zhen, Yang Meng, Zongbiao Tan, Wenxuan Yan, Tiange Li, Yanrui Wu, Chuan Liu, Weiguo Dong
Department of General Practice, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, Hubei Province, China.
Department of Ophthalmology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, Hubei Province, China.
Neoplasia. 2025 Feb;60:101114. doi: 10.1016/j.neo.2024.101114. Epub 2024 Dec 30.
Very early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) was defined as CRC diagnosed before the age of 35 proposed by the latest EOCRC management guideline. Until now, the disease burden of very EOCRC has never been reported. This study aimed to explore the burden of very EOCRC across the past three decades.
We extracted the data from Global Burden of Disease Study to analyze the disease burden of very EOCRC. Risk factors for the burden of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to very EOCRC were also explored in this study. Additionally, decomposition analysis and frontier analysis were also conducted.
Despite regional and gender variations, the global very EOCRC incidence cases increased from 21,874 (95 % UI: 20,386-23,470) to 41,545 (95 % UI: 37,978-45,523). Besides, the deaths cases also increased from 11,445 (95 % UI: 10,545-12,374) to 15,486 (95 % UI: 14,289-16,803), and the DALYs cases increased from 718,136 (95 % UI: 659,858-778,283) to 961,460 (95 % UI: 886,807-1,042,734). Decomposition analysis revealed the epidemiological change contributed most to the incidence burden of very EOCRC. Countries or regions with Sociodemographic Index (SDI) between 0.4 and 0.8 had greater disease burden improvement potential through frontier analysis. Diet low in milk, diet low in calcium, alcohol use, and high body-mass index were the main contributors to deaths and DALYs.
The increase in CRC burden among populations younger than 35 years globally requires vigilance from policy makers, physicians, and young individuals themselves, especially those regions experiencing faster growth burden of very EOCRC.
极早期结直肠癌(EOCRC)被最新的EOCRC管理指南定义为35岁之前诊断出的结直肠癌。到目前为止,极早期EOCRC的疾病负担从未有过报道。本研究旨在探讨过去三十年极早期EOCRC的负担情况。
我们从全球疾病负担研究中提取数据,以分析极早期EOCRC的疾病负担。本研究还探讨了极早期EOCRC导致的死亡和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)负担的风险因素。此外,还进行了分解分析和前沿分析。
尽管存在地区和性别差异,但全球极早期EOCRC的发病病例从21,874例(95%不确定区间:20,386 - 23,470例)增加到41,545例(95%不确定区间:37,978 - 45,523例)。此外,死亡病例也从11,445例(95%不确定区间:10,545 - 12,374例)增加到15,486例(95%不确定区间:14,289 - 16,803例),DALYs病例从718,136例(95%不确定区间:659,858 - 778,283例)增加到961,460例(95%不确定区间:886,807 - 1,042,734例)。分解分析显示,流行病学变化对极早期EOCRC发病负担的贡献最大。通过前沿分析,社会人口学指数(SDI)在0.4至0.8之间的国家或地区具有更大的疾病负担改善潜力。低牛奶饮食、低钙饮食、饮酒和高体重指数是导致死亡和DALYs的主要因素。
全球35岁以下人群结直肠癌负担的增加需要政策制定者、医生和年轻人自身提高警惕,尤其是那些极早期EOCRC负担增长较快的地区。