Li Wenqi, Wei Fengjuan
School of Civil Engineering and Environment, Hubei University of Technology, Wuhan, China.
Innovation Demonstration Base of Ecological Environment Geotechnical and Ecological Restoration of Rivers and Lakes, Wuhan, China.
PLoS One. 2025 Jul 10;20(7):e0325946. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0325946. eCollection 2025.
Exploring the spatial structure of residential land prices within metropolitan areas is crucial for identifying regional development disparities. It holds significant practical value for guiding the rational allocation of resources, optimizing land use efficiency, and promoting collaborative development across the metropolitan region. Based on the residential land auction and sale data of 48 counties in the Wuhan metropolitan area, this paper analyzes the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and network structure of regional residential land prices in 2015, 2018, and 2021 using spatial autocorrelation and social network analysis. Further, it analyzes the factors that influence residential land prices using the MGWR model. It is found that: (1) the residential land price in the Wuhan metropolitan area shows a circle characteristic of decreasing from Wuhan as the core to the periphery, with obvious polarization characteristics, and relatively relieved in 2021. Similar aggregation types exhibit a distinct cluster distribution in space. (2) The network structure of residential land prices in the Wuhan metropolitan area increases yearly, but the evolution speed is slow. (3) Compared to OLS and GWR, the MGWR model more accurately measures the impact and spatial variability of variables on residential land prices. The contributing factors, ranked by their influence, are: shopping malls > secondary roads > population > plot ratio > parks and squares > medical facilities > GDP > entertainment venues. With the exception of population and entertainment venues, all other factors exert a positive influence on residential land prices to varying extents. Resource sharing and city-specific policies are feasible ways to promote the healthy and stable development of the land market in the Wuhan metropolitan area.
探究大都市区内住宅地价的空间结构对于识别区域发展差异至关重要。它对于指导资源合理配置、优化土地利用效率以及促进大都市区协同发展具有重要的实践价值。基于武汉大都市区48个县的住宅土地出让数据,本文运用空间自相关和社会网络分析方法,分析了2015年、2018年和2021年区域住宅地价的时空演变特征和网络结构。此外,运用MGWR模型分析了影响住宅地价的因素。研究发现:(1)武汉大都市区住宅地价呈现以武汉为核心向周边递减的圈层特征,极化特征明显,2021年有所缓解。相似的集聚类型在空间上呈现出明显的集群分布。(2)武汉大都市区住宅地价的网络结构逐年增加,但演变速度较慢。(3)与OLS和GWR相比,MGWR模型能更准确地测度变量对住宅地价的影响及空间变异性。影响因素按影响力排序为:商场>次干道>人口>容积率>公园广场>医疗设施>GDP>娱乐场所。除人口和娱乐场所外,其他因素均对住宅地价有不同程度的正向影响。资源共享和因地制宜的政策是促进武汉大都市区土地市场健康稳定发展的可行途径。