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心理账户在冒险和消费中的作用:“私房钱效应”的元分析

The role of mental accounting in risk-taking and spending: a meta-analysis of the house-money effect.

作者信息

Dan Kasumi

机构信息

Graduate School of Economics, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2025 Jul 3;16:1549626. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2025.1549626. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

This study systematically analyzes the house-money effect, a phenomenon in which people become more financially risk-taking and wasteful after receiving unexpected income. It aims to identify the general tendencies and factors that influence this effect, because the results reported in previous studies are inconsistent.

METHOD

A total of 36 eligible studies with 57 continuous and 18 binary outcome effect sizes were included in this meta-analysis. A random-effects model was used to pool the effect sizes.

RESULTS

A low-to-moderate house-money effect (g = 0.37, rr = 1.33) was confirmed. However, high heterogeneity was observed, and the strength of the house-money effect varied widely, depending on the situation. The subgroup and meta-regression analyses revealed several moderators. While a strong effect was observed in the controlled experimental environment, the effect was weakened when it was closer to a real-world environment. For continuous outcomes, the effect was particularly pronounced in students and Asian regions, and the effect size decreased as the publication year increased, suggesting the limited universality of the house-money effect. In the publication-bias analysis, a slight bias was detected using multiple methods.

DISCUSSION

This suggests that the true effect size may be smaller, supporting the theory that the house-money effect is reproducible only under certain conditions.

摘要

引言

本研究系统分析了“私房钱效应”,即人们在获得意外之财后在财务方面变得更愿意冒险和浪费的一种现象。本研究旨在确定影响这一效应的总体趋势和因素,因为先前研究报告的结果并不一致。

方法

本荟萃分析共纳入36项符合条件的研究,其中有57个连续性效应量和18个二分法效应量。采用随机效应模型合并效应量。

结果

证实了存在低到中等程度的“私房钱效应”(g = 0.37,rr = 1.33)。然而,观察到高度的异质性,并且“私房钱效应”的强度因情况而异,差异很大。亚组分析和元回归分析揭示了几个调节因素。虽然在受控实验环境中观察到了强烈的效应,但当更接近现实世界环境时,效应会减弱。对于连续性结果,该效应在学生和亚洲地区尤为明显,并且效应量随着发表年份的增加而减小,这表明“私房钱效应”的普遍性有限。在发表偏倚分析中,使用多种方法检测到了轻微的偏倚。

讨论

这表明真实的效应量可能更小,支持了“私房钱效应”仅在特定条件下才可重现的理论。

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