Bonneville Edouard F, Beyersmann Jan, Keogh Ruth H, Bartlett Jonathan W, Morris Tim P, Polverelli Nicola, de Wreede Liesbeth C, Putter Hein
Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.
Institute of Statistics, Ulm University, Ulm, Germany.
Stat Med. 2025 Jul;44(15-17):e70166. doi: 10.1002/sim.70166.
The Fine-Gray model for the subdistribution hazard is commonly used for estimating associations between covariates and competing risks outcomes. When there are missing values in the covariates included in a given model, researchers may wish to multiply impute them. Assuming interest lies in estimating the risk of only one of the competing events, this paper develops a substantive-model-compatible multiple imputation approach that exploits the parallels between the Fine-Gray model and the standard (single-event) Cox model. In the presence of right-censoring, this involves first imputing the potential censoring times for those failing from competing events, and thereafter imputing the missing covariates by leveraging methodology previously developed for the Cox model in the setting without competing risks. In a simulation study, we compared the proposed approach to alternative methods, such as imputing compatibly with cause-specific Cox models. The proposed method performed well (in terms of estimation of both subdistribution log hazard ratios and cumulative incidences) when data were generated assuming proportional subdistribution hazards, and performed satisfactorily when this assumption was not satisfied. The gain in efficiency compared to a complete-case analysis was demonstrated in both the simulation study and in an applied data example on competing outcomes following an allogeneic stem cell transplantation. For individual-specific cumulative incidence estimation, assuming proportionality on the correct scale at the analysis phase appears to be more important than correctly specifying the imputation procedure used to impute the missing covariates.
用于子分布风险的Fine-Gray模型通常用于估计协变量与竞争风险结果之间的关联。当给定模型中包含的协变量存在缺失值时,研究人员可能希望对其进行多重填补。假设感兴趣的是仅估计竞争事件之一的风险,本文开发了一种与实质性模型兼容的多重填补方法,该方法利用了Fine-Gray模型与标准(单事件)Cox模型之间的相似性。在存在右删失的情况下,这首先涉及对因竞争事件而失败的个体的潜在删失时间进行填补,然后通过利用先前在无竞争风险的情况下为Cox模型开发的方法对缺失的协变量进行填补。在一项模拟研究中,我们将所提出的方法与其他方法进行了比较,例如与特定原因的Cox模型兼容地进行填补。当假设比例子分布风险生成数据时,所提出的方法表现良好(在子分布对数风险比和累积发病率的估计方面),并且当该假设不满足时表现令人满意。在模拟研究和异基因干细胞移植后竞争结果的应用数据示例中,都证明了与完全病例分析相比效率的提高。对于个体特定的累积发病率估计,在分析阶段在正确的尺度上假设比例性似乎比正确指定用于填补缺失协变量的填补程序更重要。