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业务气象学在未来天气和气候服务跨学科方法中的角色转变。

The changing role of operational meteorology towards a transdisciplinary approach to future weather and climate services.

作者信息

Davies Paul, Fowler Hayley J, Roberts Helen, White Christopher J, Youngman Monica, Rogers David P

机构信息

Services, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, UK.

School of Engineering and Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240535. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0535.

Abstract

This paper describes the role of operational meteorology from a single disciplinary standpoint through to multidisciplinary, interdisciplinary and, more recently, transdisciplinary approaches and what this means for future forecasting systems. We start from the foundation of a single meteorological discipline: in this case, the forecasting of wind speed and direction that led to the creation of the first gale warning service in the wake of the 'Royal Charter Storm' in 1859. We build on this, giving further examples of where multidisciplinary and interdisciplinary methods have enhanced our understanding of observed meteorological and hydrometeorological phenomena from multiple perspectives, to produce a more holistic understanding of the effect of weather and climate on the 'whole of society'. An exemplar of this is the integration of meteorology and hydrology to create the UK's first hydrometeorological profession through the Flood Forecasting partnership between the Met Office and the Environment Agency. We end our discussion by exploring the move to a transdisciplinary approach through living labs: we believe this is vital to increase societal resilience to ever-more extreme weather events driven by anthropogenic warming.This article is part of the discussion meeting issue 'Hydrology in the 21st century: challenges in science, to policy and practice'.

摘要

本文描述了从单一学科角度到多学科、跨学科以及最近的跨学科方法中业务气象学的作用,以及这对未来预报系统意味着什么。我们从单一气象学科的基础开始:在这种情况下,是对风速和风向的预报,这导致了1859年“皇家宪章风暴”后首个大风警报服务的创建。在此基础上,我们进一步举例说明多学科和跨学科方法从多个角度如何增强了我们对观测到的气象和水文气象现象的理解,从而对天气和气候对“整个社会”的影响有更全面的认识。一个例证是气象学和水文学的整合,通过英国气象局与环境署之间的洪水预报合作关系,创建了英国首个水文气象专业。我们通过探讨通过生活实验室转向跨学科方法来结束我们的讨论:我们认为这对于提高社会对由人为变暖驱动的日益极端的天气事件的适应能力至关重要。本文是讨论会议议题“21世纪的水文学:科学、政策和实践中的挑战”的一部分。

相似文献

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Hydrology in the 21st century: challenges in science, to policy and practice.21世纪的水文学:科学、政策与实践面临的挑战
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240299. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0299.

引用本文的文献

1
Hydrology in the 21st century: challenges in science, to policy and practice.21世纪的水文学:科学、政策与实践面临的挑战
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240299. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0299.

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