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21世纪的水文学:科学、政策与实践面临的挑战

Hydrology in the 21st century: challenges in science, to policy and practice.

作者信息

Fowler Hayley J, Coxon Gemma, White Christopher J

机构信息

School of Engineering and Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.

School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240299. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0299.

DOI:10.1098/rsta.2024.0299
PMID:40739918
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12311483/
Abstract

To mark the 40th anniversary of the British Hydrological Society, a landmark Discussion Meeting was held at the Royal Society in June 2024, bringing together a transdisciplinary community, including hydrologists, policymakers and practitioners, to reflect on four decades of progress and chart future directions for hydrology. This special issue presents a collection of papers from that meeting, addressing advances in data, modelling, forecasting and decision-making in the context of intensifying climate and hydrological extremes. Key themes include the need for open, reproducible science, greater integration of machine learning, AI and convection-permitting models and a shift towards transdisciplinary, co-produced knowledge that better supports adaptation, resilience and policy impact. The issue highlights the critical roles of education, collaboration and equity in shaping a hydrology that is not only technically advanced but socially and environmentally responsive to the challenges of the 21st century.This article is part of the discussion meeting issue 'Hydrology in the 21st century: challenges in science, to policy and practice'.

摘要

为纪念英国水文学会成立40周年,2024年6月在英国皇家学会举行了一场具有里程碑意义的研讨会,汇聚了包括水文学家、政策制定者和从业者在内的跨学科群体,共同回顾40年来的进展,并为水文学绘制未来发展方向。本期特刊收录了该会议的一系列论文,探讨在气候和水文极端事件加剧背景下,数据、建模、预测和决策方面的进展。关键主题包括对开放、可重复科学的需求,机器学习、人工智能和允许对流模型的更大整合,以及向跨学科、共同产生的知识转变,以更好地支持适应、恢复力和政策影响。该特刊强调了教育、合作和公平在塑造水文学中的关键作用,使其不仅在技术上先进,而且在社会和环境方面能够应对21世纪的挑战。本文是“21世纪的水文学:从科学到政策与实践的挑战”研讨会特刊的一部分。

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本文引用的文献

1
Hydrology for impact: building partnerships, blending knowledge and bracing for climate change.影响水文:建立伙伴关系、融合知识与应对气候变化
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240290. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0290.
2
Education and technology synergy in environmental sensing.环境传感中的教育与技术协同作用。
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240281. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0281.
3
Improving event-based methods for modelling flood risk in a variable and non-stationary climate.改进基于事件的方法以模拟可变且非平稳气候下的洪水风险。
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240292. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0292.
4
Why people matter in 21st century hydrology: lessons learnt from flood forecasting and warning.为何人在21世纪的水文学中至关重要:从洪水预报与预警中汲取的经验教训。
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240293. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0293.
5
Advancing hydrology for societal impact: integrating transdisciplinary frameworks to bridge research and practice.推进具有社会影响力的水文学:整合跨学科框架以弥合研究与实践的差距。
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240283. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0283.
6
More efficient reproducible research in hydrology: moving research down the academic career scale (MRDTACS).水文领域更高效的可重复研究:将研究向下延伸至学术生涯阶段(MRDTACS)。
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240296. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0296.
7
Challenges and opportunities of ML and explainable AI in large-sample hydrology.机器学习和可解释人工智能在大样本水文学中的挑战与机遇。
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240287. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0287.
8
Convection-permitting models for managing hydrological extremes: practical, innovative examples.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240289. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0289.
9
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Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2025 Jul 31;383(2302):20240535. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0535.
10
Using high-resolution climate change information in water management: a decision-makers' perspective.利用高分辨率气候变化信息进行水资源管理:决策者视角。
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