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1990年至2021年中美两国早发性癌症负担的比较研究。

Comparative study of early onset cancer burden between China and the United States from 1990 to 2021.

作者信息

Ye Rui, Cao Yang, Zhu Xinye, Qian Aibing, Ruan Zhihui

机构信息

Nanjing Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine Hospital, Nanjing, China.

School of Health Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Aug 5;15(1):28527. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-10185-w.

Abstract

China and the United States face a mounting burden associated with early-onset cancers. Comparing the burden and trends of early-onset cancers between the two countries, analyzing attributable risk factors, drawing on the successful experience of the US in cancer research, prevention, and care can provide valuable insights to inform China's prevention and control strategies. A comparative study based on the 2021 Global Burden of Disease repository was conducted to assess the average annual percentage change in the burden of early-onset cancers. Linear regression analysis was performed using the JoinPoint model. The metrics analyzed included the incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and attributable risk factors related to early-onset cancers. In 2021, the number of new early-onset cancer cases was 750,600 in China and 472,600 in the US, with deaths totaling 240,800 and 30,600, respectively. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) in the US was higher than in China, while its age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and DALYs were lower. The ASMR declined annually by 1.57% in China and 1.65% in the US, and the age-standardized DALYs rate decreased by 1.50% and 1.71% per year, respectively. Breast cancer, non-melanoma skin cancer, and colorectal cancer were the cancer with the highest ASIR in both countries. Smoking, high fasting plasma glucose, and dietary risks were primary contributors to DALYs losses across various early-onset cancers. Both nations need to adopt preventive and control strategies tailored to young populations, guided by the burden trends of early-onset cancers, to mitigate their social and economic consequences.

摘要

中国和美国面临着早发性癌症带来的日益沉重的负担。比较两国早发性癌症的负担和趋势,分析可归因的风险因素,借鉴美国在癌症研究、预防和治疗方面的成功经验,可为中国的防控策略提供宝贵的见解。基于2021年全球疾病负担数据库进行了一项比较研究,以评估早发性癌症负担的年均变化百分比。使用JoinPoint模型进行线性回归分析。分析的指标包括发病率、死亡率、伤残调整生命年(DALYs)以及与早发性癌症相关的可归因风险因素。2021年,中国早发性癌症新发病例数为750,600例,美国为472,600例,死亡总数分别为240,800例和30,600例。美国的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)高于中国,而其年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)和伤残调整生命年较低。中国的年龄标准化死亡率每年下降1.57%,美国为1.65%,年龄标准化伤残调整生命年率分别每年下降1.50%和1.71%。乳腺癌、非黑色素瘤皮肤癌和结直肠癌是两国年龄标准化发病率最高的癌症。吸烟、高空腹血糖和饮食风险是导致各种早发性癌症伤残调整生命年损失的主要因素。两国都需要根据早发性癌症的负担趋势,采取针对年轻人群的预防和控制策略,以减轻其社会和经济后果。

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