Sekula Peggy, Steinbrenner Inga, Schultheiss Ulla T, Valveny Neus, Rebora Paola, Halabi Susan, Cadarette Suzanne M, Riley Richard D, Collins Gary S, Sauerbrei Willi, Gail Mitchell H
Institute of Genetic Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine and Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany
Institute of Genetic Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine and Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
BMJ Open. 2025 Aug 31;15(8):e095065. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095065.
Prognostic research is clinically relevant and ultimately facilitates stratified medicine. However, its quality and output are limited. More guidance is needed to improve understanding and thus quality. On behalf of the topic group 'TG5: study design' of the STRATOS initiative and for the general readership, this article describes key concepts and issues for prognostic factor studies, a sub-area of prognosis research. After providing a general overview on prognosis research, the article covers aspects such as aims, estimands and designs of prognostic factor studies, highlighting standards and current practice. Focusing on prognostic factor studies that assess a single factor at a time and a binary outcome, this article is complemented by a glossary of terms and a list of general aspects to consider in prognostic factor studies.
预后研究具有临床相关性,并最终推动分层医学的发展。然而,其质量和产出是有限的。需要更多的指导来增进理解,从而提高质量。本文代表STRATOS计划的“TG5:研究设计”主题组,并面向广大读者,介绍了预后研究子领域——预后因素研究的关键概念和问题。在对预后研究进行总体概述之后,本文涵盖了预后因素研究的目标、估计量和设计等方面,突出了标准和当前实践。本文聚焦于一次评估一个因素和二元结局的预后因素研究,并辅以术语表和预后因素研究中需考虑的一般方面列表。