Sekula Peggy, Steinbrenner Inga, Schultheiss Ulla T, Valveny Neus, Rebora Paola, Halabi Susan, Cadarette Suzanne M, Riley Richard D, Collins Gary S, Sauerbrei Willi, Gail Mitchell H
Institute of Genetic Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine and Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany
Institute of Genetic Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine and Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
BMJ Open. 2025 Aug 31;15(8):e095065. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095065.
Prognostic research is clinically relevant and ultimately facilitates stratified medicine. However, its quality and output are limited. More guidance is needed to improve understanding and thus quality. On behalf of the topic group 'TG5: study design' of the STRATOS initiative and for the general readership, this article describes key concepts and issues for prognostic factor studies, a sub-area of prognosis research. After providing a general overview on prognosis research, the article covers aspects such as aims, estimands and designs of prognostic factor studies, highlighting standards and current practice. Focusing on prognostic factor studies that assess a single factor at a time and a binary outcome, this article is complemented by a glossary of terms and a list of general aspects to consider in prognostic factor studies.
BMJ Open. 2025-8-31
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