Ding Chengcheng, Zhu Yun
School of Electrical Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning, China.
PLoS One. 2025 Sep 12;20(9):e0331927. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0331927. eCollection 2025.
The integrated energy systems (IES) in China face a dual challenge under the "dual-carbon" targets: maximizing renewable energy utilization while minimizing carbon emissions. Traditional tiered carbon markets often lack the flexibility to dynamically incentivize low-carbon operation. To address this, a coordinated framework is proposed, integrating a dynamic carbon emission trading (CET) mechanism with green certificate trading (GCT) and a Multi-Strategy Ameliorated Goose Optimization (MSAGOOSE) algorithm. The GCT-CET mechanism introduces exponential reward-penalty coefficients based on real-time renewable consumption rates, enabling adaptive carbon pricing. MSAGOOSE combines adaptive parameter adjustment, multimodal distribution-guided exploration, and population-aware reverse learning to improve optimization robustness in high-dimensional, nonlinear scheduling problems. Benchmark evaluations on CEC2017 and CEC2022 show that MSAGOOSE achieves an order-of-magnitude improvement in accuracy over seven state-of-the-art algorithms. In a 24-hour IES scheduling case in Anhui Province, the proposed method reduces carbon emissions by 27.3% (5,121 kg/d), increases renewable energy share to 88%, and cuts operating costs by 24.8% (6,151 CNY/d). Parametric analysis further confirms the framework's effectiveness in balancing economic and environmental goals under decentralized energy scenarios. This study presents a policy-algorithm co-design paradigm that offers both theoretical and practical support for low-carbon IES transitions, enabling scalable, flexible, and economically viable scheduling strategies.
在中国,综合能源系统(IES)在“双碳”目标下面临双重挑战:在将碳排放降至最低的同时,最大限度地提高可再生能源利用率。传统的分层碳市场往往缺乏动态激励低碳运营的灵活性。为了解决这一问题,本文提出了一个协调框架,将动态碳排放交易(CET)机制与绿色证书交易(GCT)以及多策略改进鹅优化(MSAGOOSE)算法相结合。GCT-CET机制基于实时可再生能源消耗率引入指数奖惩系数,实现自适应碳定价。MSAGOOSE结合自适应参数调整、多模态分布引导探索和种群感知反向学习,以提高高维非线性调度问题中的优化鲁棒性。在CEC2017和CEC2022上的基准评估表明,MSAGOOSE在精度上比七种先进算法有一个数量级的提高。在安徽省的一个24小时IES调度案例中,该方法将碳排放降低了27.3%(5121千克/天),将可再生能源份额提高到88%,并将运营成本降低了24.8%(6151元/天)。参数分析进一步证实了该框架在分散能源场景下平衡经济和环境目标的有效性。本研究提出了一种政策-算法协同设计范式,为低碳IES转型提供了理论和实践支持,实现了可扩展、灵活且经济可行的调度策略。