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一种用于评估婴儿疟疾接种率和感染风险的简单流行病学模型。

A simple epidemiological model for evaluating the malaria inoculation rate and the risk of infection in infants.

作者信息

Pull J H, Grab B

出版信息

Bull World Health Organ. 1974;51(5):507-16.

Abstract

A simple epidemiological model for evaluating the malaria inoculation rate and the risk of infection in infants was applied to describe the disease picture in an area of East Africa. Fairly good agreement was noted between the actual and expected curves of disease acquisition; this model could therefore be used for simulating epidemiological processes. Entomological and parasitological inoculation rates were compared by means of different approaches. As a result, it was possible to calculate the factor of proportionality defined as the proportion of anophelines having in their glands sporozoites that are actually infective.

摘要

应用一个简单的流行病学模型来评估婴儿的疟疾接种率和感染风险,以描述东非某地区的疾病情况。疾病感染的实际曲线与预期曲线之间呈现出较好的一致性;因此,该模型可用于模拟流行病学过程。通过不同方法比较了昆虫学和寄生虫学接种率。结果,得以计算出比例系数,该系数定义为按蚊腺体中实际具有感染性的子孢子的比例。

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