Seneta E
Genetics. 1974 Jul;77(3):607-10. doi: 10.1093/genetics/77.3.607.
Wright's model for the effects of random fluctuations in gene frequency in a population of fixed size is generalized to randomly fluctuating population size, and treated from the viewpoint of G. Malécot, using a martingale convergence theorem. The gene frequency approaches a limit, whose value depends on the actual realization, or history, of the process; that is, convergence is with probability one (or: almost surely) in statistical language. The limit does not necessarily represent a state of fixation of either allele; in particular, the limiting probability distribution is not necessarily trivial. For the special case of deterministically varying population size, a necessary and sufficient condition for such non-triviality is given.
赖特关于固定大小种群中基因频率随机波动影响的模型被推广到种群大小随机波动的情况,并从G. 马勒科的角度进行处理,使用了鞅收敛定理。基因频率趋近于一个极限,其值取决于该过程的实际实现或历史;也就是说,用统计语言来说,收敛的概率为一(或:几乎必然)。该极限不一定代表任何一个等位基因的固定状态;特别是,极限概率分布不一定是平凡的。对于种群大小确定性变化的特殊情况,给出了这种非平凡性的一个充要条件。