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人类遗传及部分遗传性疾病的负担。I. 先天性异常:以寿命损失年数和生活受损年数衡量的损害估计。

The load of genetic and partially genetic disorders in man. I. Congenital anomalies: estimates of detriment in terms of years of life lost and years of impaired life.

作者信息

Czeizel A, Sankaranarayanan K

出版信息

Mutat Res. 1984 Aug;128(1):73-103. doi: 10.1016/0027-5107(84)90049-6.

Abstract

This paper represents an attempt to estimate quantitatively, the detriment associated with spontaneously arising congenital anomalies in man. The system used in the International Classification of Diseases (Chapter XIV, entries 740-759) has been followed to classify the congenital anomalies. Detriment was assessed using estimates of the years of life lost, years of life potentially impaired and years of life actually impaired, as indicators. The data on birth prevalences for the various conditions were derived from several epidemiological surveys carried out in Hungary and from the Hungarian Congenital Malformation Registry. Most of the information on mortality profiles was obtained from the records of the Hungarian Central Statistical Office, Budapest. An overall comparison of the prevalence figures in Hungary with those for the U.S. (this study aimed at complete ascertainment) and for the Canadian province of British Columbia (in this study, ascertainment is believed to be incomplete) showed that, in Hungary, at least certain classes of congenital anomalies, particularly some of the less severe ones, have been under-ascertained. Since detriment estimates are heavily dependent on accurate estimates of birth prevalences, we believe that the estimates of detriment arrived at using the Hungarian data may also be underestimates. In Hungary, the total birth prevalence of all isolated major congenital anomalies is of the order of about 600/10(4). Our calculations show that these congenital anomalies may cause, per 10(4) livebirths, about 4800 years of life loss, about 37000 years of potentially impaired life and about 4500 years of actually impaired life. In these calculations, it has been assumed that the average life-expectancy at live birth for the general population is 70 years. These estimates are considerably higher than those made by Carter for detriment associated with spontaneously arising monogenic disorders.

摘要

本文试图对人类自发产生的先天性异常所造成的损害进行定量评估。先天性异常的分类遵循了《国际疾病分类》(第十四章,条目740 - 759)中使用的系统。损害评估采用了寿命损失年数、潜在寿命受损年数和实际寿命受损年数的估计值作为指标。各种情况的出生患病率数据来自于在匈牙利进行的多项流行病学调查以及匈牙利先天性畸形登记处。大部分死亡率数据来自布达佩斯匈牙利中央统计局的记录。将匈牙利的患病率数据与美国(本研究旨在完全确定病例)以及加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省(本研究认为确定病例不完整)的患病率数据进行全面比较后发现,在匈牙利,至少某些类型的先天性异常,特别是一些不太严重的异常,未得到充分确定。由于损害估计在很大程度上依赖于出生患病率的准确估计,我们认为使用匈牙利数据得出的损害估计也可能被低估。在匈牙利,所有孤立的主要先天性异常的总出生患病率约为600/10⁴。我们的计算表明,每10⁴例活产中,这些先天性异常可能导致约4800年的寿命损失、约37000年的潜在寿命受损和约4500年的实际寿命受损。在这些计算中,假设一般人群出生时的平均预期寿命为70岁。这些估计值比卡特对自发产生的单基因疾病相关损害的估计值要高得多。

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