Kendell R E
Alcohol Alcohol. 1984;19(4):271-6.
Per capita consumption of alcohol rose steadily in the U.K. from 1970 to 1979, but fell by 11% between 1979 and 1982. This fall in consumption was followed by a 19% fall in first admissions for alcohol dependence, a 16% fall in drunkenness convictions, a 7% fall in drinking and driving convictions and a 4% fall in cirrhosis mortality. Between 1970 and 1982 there were highly significant (P less than 0.01) correlations between per capita consumption and convictions for drunkenness and drinking and driving, first admissions to hospital for alcohol dependence, and mortality from cirrhosis, pancreatitis and cancer of the oesophagus. These findings add weight to the argument that per capita consumption is the crucial variable determining the magnitude of the burden imposed on the community by the harmful effects of excessive drinking.
1970年至1979年期间，英国人均酒精消费量稳步上升，但在1979年至1982年期间下降了11%。消费量下降之后，酒精依赖首次入院人数下降了19%，醉酒定罪率下降了16%，酒后驾车定罪率下降了7%，肝硬化死亡率下降了4%。1970年至1982年期间，人均消费量与醉酒和酒后驾车定罪、酒精依赖首次入院治疗以及肝硬化、胰腺炎和食道癌死亡率之间存在高度显著的相关性（P小于0.01）。这些发现进一步证明了人均消费量是决定过度饮酒有害影响给社会带来负担大小的关键变量这一论点。
