Benarde M A, Weiss W
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1982 Feb 6;284(6313):400-2. doi: 10.1136/bmj.284.6313.400.
An examination of available data on per caput consumption of coffee and pancreatic cancer mortality in the United States since 1950 shows a temporal association. A rise and fall in coffee consumption was followed by a rise and fall in the incidence of pancreatic cancer with roughly a 10-year lag. Nevertheless, there were inconsistencies in this relationship was also found between the consumption of coffee and pancreatic cancer mortality in 13 countries. While this relationship suggests an association, major inconsistencies case doubt on the possibility that it is one of cause and effect. This may be due to confounding, particularly by cigarette smoking and cancer of the pancreas is much more consistent with a causal relationship.
对自1950年以来美国人均咖啡消费量与胰腺癌死亡率的现有数据进行的一项研究显示出一种时间上的关联。咖啡消费量的上升和下降之后,胰腺癌发病率也随之上升和下降,大致有10年的滞后。然而,在13个国家中,咖啡消费与胰腺癌死亡率之间的这种关系也存在不一致之处。虽然这种关系表明存在关联,但主要的不一致情况让人怀疑它是否为因果关系之一。这可能是由于混杂因素,尤其是吸烟,而胰腺癌与因果关系更为一致。