Valentin J
Am J Hum Genet. 1980 May;32(3):420-31.
The Swedish State Institute for Blood Group Serology is a central government laboratory handling all blood typing in paternity cases in Sweden, each year testing 1,500-2,000 cases using about 13 polymorphisms. Of the accused men, 35%-40% are nonfathers, but in one-man cases (about 78% of all cases), approximately 75% are the true fathers. Exclusions appear to be distributed as expected from allele frequencies, and the paternity probability of nonexcluded men is assessed with a Bayesian approach. Some cases are retested in extended investigations which raise theoretical exclusion capability from about 87% to about 99%. Both the results of extended investigations and the theoretical consideration of the distribution of paternity probabilities support the use of such positive statistical evidence for the attribution of paternity.
瑞典国家血型血清学研究所是一个中央政府实验室，负责处理瑞典所有亲子鉴定案件中的血型鉴定工作，每年使用约13种多态性检测1500 - 2000个案件。在被指控的男性中，35% - 40%不是孩子的父亲，但在单人案件（约占所有案件的78%）中，约75%是真正的父亲。排除情况似乎按照等位基因频率预期分布，未被排除的男性的父权概率采用贝叶斯方法评估。一些案件在扩展调查中重新检测，这将理论排除能力从约87%提高到约99%。扩展调查的结果以及父权概率分布的理论考量都支持将这种阳性统计证据用于父权归属判定。
