Knox E G
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1981 Sep;35(3):220-3. doi: 10.1136/jech.35.3.220.
The recent decline in stroke mortality, and its seasonal variation, have not been satisfactorily explained through any single factor. Nevertheless, several causes might operate through a single mechanism, namely salt loss variation. The increased use of diuretics could explain the trend, and physiological salt loss variations might explain the cycle. The associations between mortality and meteorological variables were therefore examined. The examination was negative in that temperature correlations were equally strong in winter and in summer, with no support for the hypothesis that temperature-dependent salt loss was a contributing cause. It was found in addition, unexpectedly, that stroke mortality showed strong correlations with atmospheric pollution levels, both in winter and in summer. These correlations were strengthened, rather than dissipated, by standardisation for season and for temperature. The pattern for stroke mortality differed, in these respects, from acute myocardial infarction. The pollution correlations of hypertension deaths were similar to those from stroke, and they were jointly more powerful than correlations with deaths from bronchitis.
近期中风死亡率的下降及其季节性变化,尚未通过任何单一因素得到令人满意的解释。然而,几个原因可能通过单一机制起作用,即盐分流失变化。利尿剂使用的增加可以解释这一趋势,而生理盐分流失变化可能解释这种周期性。因此,研究了死亡率与气象变量之间的关联。这项研究结果是否定的,因为冬季和夏季的温度相关性同样强,没有证据支持温度依赖性盐分流失是一个促成因素的假设。此外,出乎意料的是,发现中风死亡率在冬季和夏季均与大气污染水平呈现出很强的相关性。通过对季节和温度进行标准化,这些相关性得到了加强,而非减弱。在这些方面,中风死亡率的模式与急性心肌梗死不同。高血压死亡的污染相关性与中风的相似,且它们共同的相关性比与支气管炎死亡的相关性更强。