Crombie I K
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1981 Dec;35(4):281-7. doi: 10.1136/jech.35.4.281.
The ability of the case-control study to detect human carcinogens has been investigated theoretically for varying fractions of the population exposed to hazards carrying different relative risks. The method is shown to be useful for the investigation of factors to which exposure is widespread (for example, common foods or beverages) but it is of limited use for the study of uncommon types of exposure, such as those associated with occupation. The case-control study is unable to detect very small relative risks (less than 1.5) even where exposure is widespread and large numbers of cases of cancer are occurring in the population. The principal limitation of the method is the maximum number of cases which can be recruited and analysed. It will only be through large-scale collaborative multicentre or international studies that important risk factors will be detected.
针对不同比例接触具有不同相对风险危害的人群,从理论上研究了病例对照研究检测人类致癌物的能力。结果表明,该方法对于调查广泛接触的因素(如常见食物或饮料)很有用,但对于研究不常见的接触类型(如与职业相关的接触)用途有限。即使接触广泛且人群中出现大量癌症病例,病例对照研究也无法检测到非常小的相对风险(小于1.5)。该方法的主要局限性在于能够招募和分析的病例最大数量。只有通过大规模的协作多中心或国际研究,才能检测到重要的风险因素。