Hinds M W, Kolonel L N, Lee J, Hirohata T
Br J Cancer. 1980 Jun;41(6):929-40. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1980.171.
The average annual age-adjusted incidence rates of cancer for 15 sites were determined for 10 ethnic-sex groups in Hawaii. Consumption rates for cigarettes, beer, wine and hard liquor were also determined for the same 10 groups based on personal interview of a sample of 9920 individuals. Covariance analysis was used to adjust each exposure variable for the other three, and the cancer incidence rates were then linearly regressed on these covariance-adjusted consumption rates. Statistically significant regression coefficients were found for cancer of the tongue/mouth, pharynx, larynx, pancreas, lung, kidney and bladder regressed on cigarette consumption. Eight cancer sites, including tongue/mouth, pharynx, larynx, oesophagus, stomach, pancreas, lung and kidney, had significant positive regression coefficients for beer consumption which could not be explained by outlying values on the scattergram. Significant associations were also suggested between wine consumption and pharyngeal cancer and between hard-liquor consumption and pharyngeal, laryngeal and possibly brain cancer. No association was found between beer consumption and colorectal cancer. Multiple regression analysis with sex, cigarettes and alcoholic beverage as independent variables consistently found sex to be least important in determining cancer risk. This study supports the hypothesis that beer consumption may play a role in cancer risk for several sites. It is suggested that future studies of alcoholic beverages and cancer should examine not only types of alcoholic beverages, but individual brands of each type in an attempt to identify cancer risk due to carcinogens in only certain brands.
我们确定了夏威夷10个种族-性别人群中15个部位癌症的年龄调整后年均发病率。基于对9920名个体样本的个人访谈,我们还确定了这10个相同人群的香烟、啤酒、葡萄酒和烈性酒的消费率。我们使用协方差分析对每个暴露变量进行其他三个变量的调整,然后将癌症发病率对这些协方差调整后的消费率进行线性回归。在对香烟消费进行回归分析时,发现舌/口腔、咽、喉、胰腺、肺、肾和膀胱癌的回归系数具有统计学意义。包括舌/口腔、咽、喉、食管、胃、胰腺、肺和肾在内的8个癌症部位,啤酒消费的回归系数呈显著正相关,这无法用散点图上的异常值来解释。葡萄酒消费与咽癌之间以及烈性酒消费与咽癌、喉癌以及可能的脑癌之间也显示出显著关联。未发现啤酒消费与结直肠癌之间存在关联。以性别、香烟和酒精饮料作为自变量的多元回归分析一致发现,性别在确定癌症风险方面最不重要。本研究支持啤酒消费可能在多个部位的癌症风险中起作用这一假设。建议未来关于酒精饮料与癌症的研究不仅应研究酒精饮料的类型,还应研究每种类型的个别品牌,以试图确定仅某些品牌中致癌物导致的癌症风险。