Smith P G, Doll R
Br J Radiol. 1981 Mar;54(639):187-94. doi: 10.1259/0007-1285-54-639-187.
The mortality of men who joined a British radiological society between 1897 and 1954 has been compared with that of (i) all men in England and Wales, (ii) men in social class 1, and (iii) male medical practitioners. Radiologists who entered the profession before 1921 suffered a death rate from cancer 75% higher than that of medical practitioners. Among these men there was a statistically significant excess of deaths from cancers of the pancreas (6 against 1.9 expected), lung (8 against 3.7), and skin (6 against 0.8), and from leukaemia (4 against 0.7). There were 72 deaths from cancer among men who entered the study after 1920 and 68.6 deaths were expected, based upon rates among medical practitioners. For no individual cancer site did the observed number of deaths exceed the expected number. There was some evidence however, that the ratio of observed to expected cancer increased with the duration of time that men were included in the study. Among those followed for more than 30 years there were 30 deaths against 22.1 expected. It is not possible to make a close estimate of the dose of radiation received by the men in this study, but those who entered between 1920 and 1945 could have received an accumulated whole-body dose of the order of 1-5 Gy (100 to 500 rad). For all non-cancer causes of death combined, the death rate among radiologists is lower than that among all men in England and Wales, men in social class 1, and male medical practitioners. The data offer no support for the concept of a non-specific aging effect of radiation.
对1897年至1954年间加入英国放射学会的男性死亡率,与以下人群进行了比较:(i)英格兰和威尔士的所有男性;(ii)社会阶层为1的男性;(iii)男性医生。1921年之前进入该行业的放射科医生患癌症的死亡率比医生高75%。在这些男性中,胰腺癌(实际死亡6例,预期1.9例)、肺癌(实际死亡8例,预期3.7例)、皮肤癌(实际死亡6例,预期0.8例)以及白血病(实际死亡4例,预期0.7例)的死亡人数在统计学上显著超标。1920年之后进入该研究的男性中有72例死于癌症,根据医生的死亡率计算,预期死亡人数为68.6例。没有任何一种癌症的实际死亡人数超过预期人数。然而,有证据表明,观察到的与预期的癌症死亡人数之比随着男性纳入研究的时间长度而增加。在随访超过30年的人群中,实际死亡30例,预期死亡22.1例。无法精确估计本研究中男性所接受的辐射剂量,但1920年至1945年间进入该行业的人可能接受了累计全身剂量约为1 - 5戈瑞(100至500拉德)的辐射。对于所有非癌症死因合并计算,放射科医生的死亡率低于英格兰和威尔士的所有男性、社会阶层为1的男性以及男性医生。这些数据不支持辐射具有非特异性衰老效应这一概念。