Nagata C, Hu Y H, Shimizu H
Department of Public Health, Gifu University School of Medicine.
Jpn J Cancer Res. 1995 Oct;86(10):910-5. doi: 10.1111/j.1349-7006.1995.tb03000.x.
To elucidate the magnitude of the effect of menstrual and reproductive factors on breast cancer occurrence among Japanese women, we reviewed eight case-control studies previously conducted in Japan and used a quantitative method (meta-analysis) to summarize the data. While individual studies have different methods and populations, the estimated odds ratios (ORs) in the studies were statistically homogeneous for all study variables. It was confirmed that early age at menarche, late age at first birth, and premenopausal status are significantly associated with risk of breast cancer; an estimated combined OR of 0.68 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.59-0.77) was obtained for women with onset of menstruation after age 16 compared to those before age 14. Nulliparous women had higher risk than women with first birth before age 25 (OR = 1.56 95%, CI: 1.27-1.91). The OR for women with first birth after age 35 was 2.26 (95% CI: 1.85-2.77) compared to women at first birth before age 25. Premenopausal women had a higher risk than women with menopause before age 50 (OR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.53-3.20). We also found a significant protective effect of high parity after controlling for age at first birth and the other menstrual factors. The OR estimate for 3 or more births compared to nulliparity was 0.68 (95% CI: 0.54-0.86). The meta-analysis provided quantitative estimates of breast cancer risk among Japanese women with improved precision.
为了阐明月经和生殖因素对日本女性乳腺癌发生的影响程度,我们回顾了此前在日本进行的八项病例对照研究,并采用定量方法(荟萃分析)对数据进行总结。尽管各项研究的方法和人群有所不同,但研究中估计的优势比(OR)在所有研究变量上在统计学上具有同质性。已证实初潮年龄早、首次生育年龄晚和绝经前状态与乳腺癌风险显著相关;与14岁之前初潮的女性相比,16岁之后初潮的女性估计合并OR为0.68(95%置信区间(CI):0.59 - 0.77)。未生育女性比25岁之前首次生育的女性风险更高(OR = 1.56,95%CI:1.27 - 1.91)。与25岁之前首次生育的女性相比,35岁之后首次生育的女性的OR为2.26(95%CI:1.85 - 2.77)。绝经前女性比50岁之前绝经的女性风险更高(OR = 2.21,95%CI:1.53 - 3.20)。在控制首次生育年龄和其他月经因素后,我们还发现高生育次数具有显著的保护作用。与未生育相比,生育3次或更多次的OR估计值为0.68(95%CI:0.54 - 0.86)。荟萃分析提供了对日本女性乳腺癌风险更精确的定量估计。