Fischhoff B
Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15213, USA.
Risk Anal. 1995 Apr;15(2):137-45. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1995.tb00308.x.
Over the past twenty years, risk communication researchers and practitioners have learned some lessons, often at considerable personal price. For the most part, the mistakes that they have made have been natural, even intelligent ones. As a result, the same pitfalls may tempt newcomers to the field. This essay offers a personal (even confessional) history of the field over this period. It identifies a series of developmental stages. Progress through the stages involves consolidating the skills needed to execute it and learning its limitations. Knowing about their existence might speed the learning process and alert one to how much there still is to learn.
在过去二十年里,风险沟通领域的研究者和从业者吸取了一些教训,常常付出了高昂的个人代价。在很大程度上,他们所犯的错误都是自然而然的,甚至是明智的错误。因此,同样的陷阱可能会诱惑该领域的新手。本文呈现了这一时期该领域的个人(甚至是自白式)历史。它确定了一系列发展阶段。在各阶段取得进展需要巩固执行所需的技能并了解其局限性。了解这些阶段的存在可能会加快学习进程,并提醒人们还有多少东西有待学习。