Ruel M T, Rivera J, Habicht J P, Martorell R
Institute of Nutrition of Central America and Panama/Pan American Health Organization (INCAP/PAHO), Guatemala.
Int J Epidemiol. 1995 Apr;24(2):404-12. doi: 10.1093/ije/24.2.404.
The classical risk approach to predicting who benefits from an intervention is unsound because it relies on the theoretical assumption that those at risk will necessarily benefit. A better approach to systematically test who benefits from nutrition supplementation is proposed using interactive models.
Differential effects of nutrition supplementation during early childhood on stature at adolescence were studied in 245 males and 215 females to identify determinants of long-term benefit from food supplementation. Factors studied included family socioeconomic status (SES) and children's home diet and diarrhoea during the first 3 years of life. To determine whether a factor conferred benefit, the statistical significance of the interaction between this factor and the intervention was tested. Data from the INCAP supplementation trial in Guatemala and from the follow-up of the same subjects at adolescence were used.
Ordinary least squares (OLS) showed that high rates of diarrhoea in males and poor SES in females were significant determinants of benefit from supplementation at adolescence, and that the effects were mediated by length at 3 years old. Results of two-stage least squares (2SLS) analysis showed that length at 36 months, maturation and maternal height were significant determinants of height at adolescence but SES was not.
Nutrition supplementation in early childhood has long-lasting effects on body size and the larger benefits acquired by some groups of children remain throughout early adulthood. The relevance of these findings for screening and targeting of nutritional interventions is discussed.
预测谁能从干预措施中获益的经典风险方法并不合理,因为它依赖于一个理论假设,即有风险的人必然会从中受益。本文提出一种更好的方法,即使用交互模型来系统地测试谁能从营养补充中获益。
对245名男性和215名女性进行研究,探讨幼儿期营养补充对青春期身高的差异影响,以确定从食物补充中获得长期益处的决定因素。研究的因素包括家庭社会经济地位(SES)、儿童家庭饮食以及生命最初3年的腹泻情况。为了确定某个因素是否能带来益处,对该因素与干预措施之间的交互作用的统计学显著性进行了测试。使用了危地马拉的中美洲和巴拿马营养研究所(INCAP)补充试验的数据以及同一批受试者青春期随访的数据。
普通最小二乘法(OLS)显示,男性腹泻率高和女性社会经济地位低是青春期补充营养获益的重要决定因素,且这些影响是由3岁时的身长介导的。两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)分析结果显示,36个月时的身长、成熟度和母亲身高是青春期身高的重要决定因素,但社会经济地位不是。
幼儿期的营养补充对体型有长期影响,一些儿童群体获得的更大益处会持续到成年早期。本文讨论了这些发现与营养干预筛查和目标设定的相关性。