Longnecker M P, Newcomb P A, Mittendorf R, Greenberg E R, Clapp R W, Bogdan G F, Baron J, MacMahon B, Willett W C
Department of Epidemiology, University of California at Los Angeles School of Public Health 90095-1772, USA.
J Natl Cancer Inst. 1995 Jun 21;87(12):923-9. doi: 10.1093/jnci/87.12.923.
Although an association between alcohol consumption and risk of breast cancer has been observed in many studies, questions of major importance remain, including the nature of the dose-response relationship and the effects of drinking at various periods in life.
Our goal was to address the issues listed above with a large case-control study.
We conducted a population-based case-control study in Maine, Massachusetts (excluding the four counties that include metropolitan Boston), New Hampshire, and Wisconsin. Case patients were eligible if their diagnosis of invasive breast cancer was first reported to one of the four statewide cancer registries during the period of 1988 through 1991. During the accrual period, 11,879 potentially eligible case patients and 16,217 control subjects were identified. After excluding ineligible women from the study, telephone interviews were obtained from 6888 case patients and 9424 control subjects. Complete data for recent alcohol consumption, and thus final eligibility for study participation, were determined for 6662 case patients and 9163 control subjects. The average age at time of interview was 58.7 years. The questions on alcohol use addressed average consumption during five periods of the subjects' lives: ages 16-19, 20-29, 30-39, 40-59, and 60-74 years. Similar responses from 211 control subjects upon reinterview 6-12 months later were taken to be indicative of the reliability of the questionnaire used in this study.
Lifetime average alcohol consumption (measured as the average grams per day consumed from age 16 to the recent past) and recent alcohol consumption (average grams per day consumed in the previous age interval) were associated with risk of developing breast cancer. The multivariate relative risk of breast cancer, in those who drink compared with abstainers, associated with average lifetime consumption of 12-18 g/day of alcohol (about one drink) was 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.16-1.67), of 19-32 g/day (about two drinks) was 1.69 (95% CI = 1.36-2.10), of 33-45 g/day (about three drinks) was 2.30 (95% CI = 1.51-3.51), and of greater than or equal to 46 g/day (four or more drinks) was 1.75 (95% CI = 1.16-2.64) (P for trend < .0001). The multivariate relative risk per 13 g/day (about one drink) of alcohol consumed before 30 years of age was 1.09 (95% CI = 0.95-1.24), whereas the relative risk associated with recent consumption of 13 g/day was 1.21 (95% CI = 1.09-1.34).
In these data, alcohol consumption was clearly related to breast cancer risk. Risk appeared to increase even at moderate levels of consumption. For women of all ages combined, consumption before 30 years of age was not an important determinant of risk.
尽管许多研究都观察到饮酒与乳腺癌风险之间存在关联,但一些至关重要的问题依然存在,包括剂量反应关系的本质以及在生命不同阶段饮酒的影响。
我们的目标是通过一项大型病例对照研究来解决上述问题。
我们在缅因州、马萨诸塞州(不包括包括波士顿市区的四个县)、新罕布什尔州和威斯康星州开展了一项基于人群的病例对照研究。如果浸润性乳腺癌患者的诊断首次于1988年至1991年期间报告给四个州癌症登记处之一,则其符合病例患者标准。在病例积累期间,确定了11,879名潜在符合条件的病例患者和16,217名对照对象。在将不符合条件的女性排除在研究之外后,对6888例病例患者和9424名对照对象进行了电话访谈。确定了6662例病例患者和9163名对照对象近期饮酒的完整数据,从而确定了最终参与研究资格。访谈时的平均年龄为58.7岁。关于饮酒情况的问题涉及受试者生命五个阶段(16 - 19岁、20 - 29岁、30 - 39岁、40 - 59岁和60 - 74岁)的平均饮酒量。6 - 12个月后对211名对照对象进行再次访谈,其相似回答被视为本研究中所使用问卷可靠性的指标。
终生平均饮酒量(以16岁至近期每天平均摄入克数衡量)和近期饮酒量(前一个年龄区间每天平均摄入克数)与患乳腺癌风险相关。与不饮酒者相比,饮酒者中乳腺癌的多变量相对风险,对于每天平均终生饮酒量为12 - 18克(约一杯)的人群为1.39(95%置信区间[CI]=1.16 - 1.67),19 - 32克(约两杯)为1.69(95% CI = 1.36 - 2.10),33 - 45克(约三杯)为2.30(95% CI = 1.51 - 3.51),大于或等于46克(四杯或更多杯)为1.75(95% CI = 1.16 - 2.64)(趋势P <.0001)。30岁之前每天每摄入13克(约一杯)酒精的多变量相对风险为1.09(95% CI = 0.95 - 1.24),而近期每天摄入13克酒精的相对风险为1.21(95% CI = 1.09 - 1.34)。
在这些数据中,饮酒与乳腺癌风险明显相关。即使在适度饮酒水平,风险似乎也会增加。对于所有年龄段女性而言,30岁之前饮酒并非风险的重要决定因素。