McKenna H P
Department of Nursing, University of Ulster, Coleraine, County Londonderry, Northern Ireland.
J Adv Nurs. 1994 Jun;19(6):1221-5. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2648.1994.tb01207.x.
Since its introduction as a research approach in the late 1940s the Delphi technique has had over 1000 published research utilizations. Most of these have been in the field of social policy. However, a review of contemporary nursing literature suggests that it is becoming a popular choice among nurse researchers. With its focus on maximizing participant's judgements and decision-making abilities the Delphi technique is a useful tool in the research armoury of a young profession. However, questions remain about its scientific respectability. This paper gives an overview of what the Delphi technique is, the criteria for selecting it as a research approach, the studies where it has been used and its advantages and disadvantages.
自20世纪40年代末作为一种研究方法引入以来,德尔菲技术已有1000多项已发表的研究应用。其中大部分应用于社会政策领域。然而,对当代护理文献的回顾表明,它正成为护士研究人员中一种受欢迎的选择。由于其专注于最大限度地提高参与者的判断和决策能力,德尔菲技术是一个年轻专业研究工具库中的有用工具。然而,关于其科学可信度的问题仍然存在。本文概述了什么是德尔菲技术、将其选为研究方法的标准、其应用的研究以及它的优缺点。