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中期分析:α 消耗函数法。

Interim analysis: the alpha spending function approach.

作者信息

DeMets D L, Lan K K

机构信息

University of Wisconsin Medical School, Madison 53706-1532.

出版信息

Stat Med. 1994;13(13-14):1341-52; discussion 1353-6. doi: 10.1002/sim.4780131308.

Abstract

Interim analysis of accumulating data in a clinical trial is now an established practice for ethical and scientific reasons. Repeatedly testing interim data can inflate false positive error rates if not handled appropriately. Group sequential methods are a commonly used frequentist approach to control this error rate. Motivated by experience of clinical trials, the alpha spending function is one way to implement group sequential boundaries that control the type I error rate while allowing flexibility in how many interim analyses are to be conducted and at what times. In this paper, we review the alpha spending function approach, and detail its applicability to a variety of commonly used statistical procedures, including survival and longitudinal methods.

摘要

出于伦理和科学原因,对临床试验中不断积累的数据进行期中分析现已成为一种既定做法。如果处理不当,反复检验期中数据会使假阳性错误率膨胀。组序贯方法是一种常用的频率学派方法,用于控制此错误率。受临床试验经验的启发,α 消耗函数是实现组序贯边界的一种方法,该边界可控制 I 型错误率,同时在进行多少次期中分析以及在何时进行方面具有灵活性。在本文中,我们回顾了 α 消耗函数方法,并详细阐述了其在各种常用统计程序中的适用性,包括生存分析和纵向分析方法。

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