Henry B, Feehan M, McGee R, Stanton W, Moffitt T E, Silva P
Department of Psychology, University of Wisconsin-Madison 53711.
J Abnorm Child Psychol. 1993 Oct;21(5):469-80. doi: 10.1007/BF00916314.
The current study assessed the relative importance of conduct problems and depressive symptoms, measured at two ages (11 and 15), for predicting substance use at age 15 in an unselected birth cohort of New Zealand adolescents. Among males, when the relative predictive utility of both conduct problems and depressive symptoms was assessed, only pre-adolescent depressive symptoms were found to predict multiple drug use 4 years later. No predictive relation was found between early symptomatology and later substance use among females. The strongest association between predictors and substance use emerged between age 15 multiple drug use and concurrent conduct problems for both males and females. Finally, both conduct problems and depressive symptoms at age 15 were also found to be associated with concurrent "self-medication" among females.
本研究评估了在两个年龄阶段（11岁和15岁）测量的品行问题和抑郁症状对于预测新西兰未经过挑选的青少年出生队列中15岁时药物使用情况的相对重要性。在男性中，当同时评估品行问题和抑郁症状的相对预测效用时，仅发现青春期前的抑郁症状能够预测4年后的多种药物使用情况。在女性中，未发现早期症状与后期药物使用之间存在预测关系。预测因素与药物使用之间最强的关联出现在15岁时的多种药物使用与男性和女性同时存在的品行问题之间。最后，还发现15岁时的品行问题和抑郁症状均与女性同时存在的“自我药物治疗”有关。
