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捷克斯洛伐克皮肤恶性黑色素瘤的日地物理活动与发病率变化:一项区域研究。

Heliophysical activity and incidence variations of skin malignant melanoma in Czechoslovakia: a regional study.

作者信息

Dimitrov B D

机构信息

Department of Social Medicine and Public Health Service, Medical University, Stara Zagora, Bulgaria.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 1993 May;37(2):68-71. doi: 10.1007/BF01214383.

Abstract

Cyclic variations in the incidence of skin malignant melanoma during the years 1964-1985 in East Bohemia (excluding the districts of Pardubice and Svitavy), Czechoslovakia have been studied, as linear correlations with solar activity indexes have been revealed. The following statistical methods were applied: periodogram regression analysis, phase-correlation analysis, sigma-method and Student's t-test. The discretization of the data is on the basis of 1 year. Different cycles were found in the incidence variations (T = 7.5 years, T = 11.5 years, etc.), and this has been correlated with the variations of two heliophysical indexes (sigma, W) for the same time period. A few significant statistical relationships have been established with a time difference (lag-period) between the extremes of the data series; the incidence maxima follow the peaks of solar activity and appear about the minima of solar indexes, mainly.

摘要

对1964年至1985年捷克斯洛伐克东波希米亚地区(不包括帕尔杜比采和斯维塔维地区)皮肤恶性黑色素瘤发病率的周期性变化进行了研究,因为已发现其与太阳活动指数存在线性相关性。应用了以下统计方法:周期图回归分析、相位相关分析、西格玛方法和学生t检验。数据离散化以1年为基础。在发病率变化中发现了不同的周期(T = 7.5年、T = 11.5年等),并且这与同一时期两个日地物理指数(西格玛、W)的变化相关。已建立了一些具有数据序列极值之间时间差(滞后周期)的显著统计关系;发病率最大值跟随太阳活动峰值出现,主要出现在太阳指数的最小值附近。

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