Rimm E, Colditz G
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.
Ann N Y Acad Sci. 1993 May 28;686:323-33; discussion 333-4. doi: 10.1111/j.1749-6632.1993.tb39195.x.
Taken together, the results from these studies clearly indicate that alcohol and cigarette smoking may both decrease serum or plasma beta-carotene levels after controlling for dietary intake and lipid profile. The variation among studies in the magnitude of the association and statistical significance may reflect, in part, the joint distribution of smoking and alcohol intake in the populations. For example, in the supplementation study reported by Costantino, 89% consumed alcohol, considerably higher than population averages. Further, one-third of the men in that study consumed more than 65 ml (52 gm) of pure alcohol per day. This contrasts with the data from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, where the mean intake of alcohol was 12.3 gm/day with a standard deviation of 15.8. Even lower alcohol intakes are reported in women, further attenuating the relation and the statistical power to detect a relation between alcohol and beta-carotene levels. Measurement error in assessing dietary intake of beta-carotene could explain some of the association between smoking, alcohol and serum beta-carotene levels because of incomplete control (residual confounding) of dietary intake. Methods for statistically adjusting for error in measurement have not yet been implemented in analyses of this nature.
综合来看,这些研究结果清楚地表明,在控制饮食摄入和血脂水平后,饮酒和吸烟都可能降低血清或血浆中的β-胡萝卜素水平。不同研究在关联程度和统计学显著性方面存在差异,这在一定程度上可能反映了不同人群中吸烟和饮酒的联合分布情况。例如,在Costantino报告的补充研究中,89%的人饮酒,这一比例远高于总体平均水平。此外,该研究中三分之一的男性每天饮用超过65毫升(52克)纯酒精。这与健康专业人员随访研究的数据形成对比,该研究中酒精的平均摄入量为每天12.3克,标准差为15.8。女性的酒精摄入量更低,这进一步削弱了酒精与β-胡萝卜素水平之间的关联以及检测这种关联的统计效力。评估β-胡萝卜素饮食摄入量时的测量误差可能解释了吸烟、饮酒与血清β-胡萝卜素水平之间的部分关联,因为对饮食摄入的控制不完全(残留混杂因素)。在这类分析中尚未采用对测量误差进行统计学调整的方法。