Mettler F A, Upton A C, Kelsey C A, Ashby R N, Rosenberg R D, Linver M N
Department of Radiology, University of New Mexico, Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131-5336, USA.
Cancer. 1996 Mar 1;77(5):903-9.
The use of mammography has increased rapidly over the last decade. The justification for mammographic examinations is the potential benefit they provide in detecting breast cancer at an early stage and reducing mortality. However, this benefit must be balanced against the associated potential risk of radiation carcinogenesis, economic costs, and a number of other factors. Most publications to date have used radiation risk factors and data from studies that were published over a decade ago, which now have been superseded by the results of more recent epidemiological studies.
This report examines the current literature regarding the benefits of cancer detection and the risk of radiation carcinogenesis, and calculates the ratio of benefit and risk for women who begin annual mammography screening at different ages. We have used current data to calculate the expected individual benefits and radiation risks associated with annual mammographic screening.
It now appears that there is little risk of breast cancer associated with radiation exposure from annual mammography in women over the age of 35, although there is some indication that exposure of younger women may pose a risk for those women in a genetically sensitive subgroup.
New data document that for a woman beginning annual mammographic screening at age 50 and continuing until age 75, the benefit exceeds the radiation risk by a factor of almost 100. Even for a woman who begins annual screening at age 35 and continues until age 75, the benefit of reduced mortality is projected to exceed the radiation risk by factor of more than 25.
在过去十年中,乳房X线摄影术的使用迅速增加。进行乳房X线检查的理由是其在早期发现乳腺癌并降低死亡率方面可能带来的益处。然而,这种益处必须与辐射致癌的潜在风险、经济成本以及许多其他因素相权衡。迄今为止,大多数出版物使用的是十多年前发表的研究中的辐射风险因素和数据,而这些现在已被更新的流行病学研究结果所取代。
本报告审查了关于癌症检测益处和辐射致癌风险的当前文献,并计算了在不同年龄开始每年进行乳房X线筛查的女性的益处与风险之比。我们使用当前数据来计算与每年乳房X线筛查相关的预期个体益处和辐射风险。
现在看来,35岁以上女性每年进行乳房X线摄影所受辐射导致乳腺癌的风险很小,尽管有迹象表明,年轻女性中的某些遗传敏感亚组可能面临辐射风险。
新数据表明,对于一名50岁开始每年进行乳房X线筛查并持续至75岁的女性,其益处超过辐射风险近100倍。即使是一名35岁开始每年筛查并持续至75岁的女性,降低死亡率的益处预计也将超过辐射风险25倍以上。