Muhuri P K
World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Demography. 1996 Feb;33(1):98-110.
This paper estimates the net effect of seasonality on child morality in Matlab. Results suggest that childhood mortality was well above average monthly level in the hot, dry month of April and in November, the first harvest month of the aman crop. It was found to be remarkably low in the postharvest months of February and March, and also in August. During the hungry months of September and October, children were at a considerably increased risk of mortality, particularly from diarrheal diseases, if mothers had no schooling, but this was not the case if mothers had schooling. The protective effect of the Matlab interventions on childhood death from diarrheal diseases was also greater during the hungry months than during other months of the year.
本文估计了季节性因素对马特莱地区儿童死亡率的净影响。结果表明，在炎热干燥的4月以及11月（阿曼作物的首个收获月），儿童死亡率远高于月平均水平。研究发现，在2月和3月的收获后月份以及8月，儿童死亡率显著较低。在9月和10月的饥饿月份，如果母亲没有受过教育，儿童死亡风险会大幅增加，尤其是死于腹泻疾病，但如果母亲受过教育则并非如此。马特莱地区的干预措施对腹泻疾病导致的儿童死亡的保护作用在饥饿月份也比一年中的其他月份更大。
