Carlin J B, Taylor P, Nolan T
Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics Unit, Royal Children's Hospital, Melbourne, Australia.
Accid Anal Prev. 1995 Dec;27(6):839-44. doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(95)00032-1.
In order to assess the relationship of the risk of injury requiring hospital attendance in children riding bicycles to sociodemographic factors and to measures of exposure, a population-based case-control study is being undertaken in a large area of suburban Melbourne, Australia. Particular attention is given to the measurement of individual exposure in several dimensions. Analysis of interim data from 109 cases and 118 controls shows that 51% of injuries occurred while the child was playing rather than making a trip on the bicycle and only 22% involved another vehicle. Boys used bicycles more commonly than girls but there was minimal evidence of an increased risk of injury in boys, adjusting for exposure. There was no evidence for an age trend in injury risk, but children from families in the lowest income category were at significantly increased risk. Exposure measures showed complex patterns of association with injury risk. Estimated time spent riding was more closely associated with risk than distance travelled, with an odds ratio of 2.2 (95% confidence interval 1.1-4.2) for children riding for more than 3 hours per week compared to children riding less than 1 hour. Riding more than 5 km on the sidewalk was also associated with increased risk (odds ratio 3.1, 95% CI 1.1-8.5). The elevated risk associated with sidewalk riding may be due to difficulties in negotiating uneven surfaces. The case-control study provides an ideal design for this type of investigation but valid and reliable measurement of exposure is difficult.
为评估儿童骑自行车时需就医的受伤风险与社会人口学因素及暴露指标之间的关系,在澳大利亚墨尔本郊区的大片区域开展了一项基于人群的病例对照研究。研究特别关注了个体暴露在多个维度的测量。对109例病例和118例对照的中期数据进行分析显示,51%的受伤发生在儿童玩耍时,而非骑车出行时,且仅有22%的受伤涉及其他车辆。男孩比女孩更常使用自行车,但在对暴露因素进行调整后,几乎没有证据表明男孩受伤风险增加。没有证据显示受伤风险存在年龄趋势,但来自收入最低类别家庭的儿童受伤风险显著增加。暴露指标显示出与受伤风险的复杂关联模式。估计骑车时间与风险的关联比骑行距离更紧密,每周骑车超过3小时的儿童与每周骑车少于1小时的儿童相比,比值比为2.2(95%置信区间1.1 - 4.2)。在人行道上骑行超过5公里也与风险增加有关(比值比3.1,95%置信区间1.1 - 8.5)。与在人行道骑行相关的风险升高可能是由于在不平整路面骑行存在困难。病例对照研究为此类调查提供了理想的设计,但对暴露进行有效且可靠的测量存在困难。