Brenner H, Gefeller O
Department of Epidemiology, University of Ulm, Germany.
Cancer. 1996 Nov 1;78(9):2004-10.
Monitoring patient survival, a practice routinely employed by many cancer registries, is an essential component of the evaluation of progress against cancer. However, changes in prognosis over time are disclosed with considerable delay, with traditional methods of monitoring cumulative survival.
This article introduces an alternative approach, denoted "period monitoring." which aims at more timely detection of such changes. The conceptual background and the computational realization of the proposed method are outlined, and its application is illustrated by an empirical example from the population-based cancer registry of Saarland, Germany.
The principle of period monitoring is shown to be analogous to the well established use of period life tables in the field of demography. Computational realization of period monitoring can be achieved with simple modifications of standard survival analysis techniques. Compared with traditional methods of monitoring survival, period monitoring can advance detection of changes in cumulative survival considerably.
Despite some limitations with respect to the ease of data interpretation. period monitoring offers a useful supplement to existing methods of monitoring patient survival.
监测患者生存率是许多癌症登记处常规采用的做法,是评估抗癌进展的重要组成部分。然而,使用传统的累积生存监测方法,预后随时间的变化会有相当长的延迟才被发现。
本文介绍了一种替代方法,称为“时期监测”,旨在更及时地检测此类变化。概述了该方法的概念背景和计算实现,并通过德国萨尔州基于人群的癌症登记处的一个实证例子说明了其应用。
时期监测的原理被证明类似于人口统计学领域中成熟的时期生命表的使用。时期监测的计算实现可以通过对标准生存分析技术进行简单修改来完成。与传统的生存监测方法相比,时期监测可以大大提前检测到累积生存的变化。
尽管在数据解释的简易性方面存在一些局限性,但时期监测为现有的患者生存监测方法提供了有用的补充。