Biganzoli E, Boracchi P, Mariani L, Marubini E
Divsione di Statistica Medica e Biometria, Istituto Nazionale per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori, Milano, Italy.
Stat Med. 1998 May 30;17(10):1169-86. doi: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19980530)17:10<1169::aid-sim796>3.0.co;2-d.
Flexible modelling in survival analysis can be useful both for exploratory and predictive purposes. Feed forward neural networks were recently considered for flexible non-linear modelling of censored survival data through the generalization of both discrete and continuous time models. We show that by treating the time interval as an input variable in a standard feed forward network with logistic activation and entropy error function, it is possible to estimate smoothed discrete hazards as conditional probabilities of failure. We considered an easily implementable approach with a fast selection criteria of the best configurations. Examples on data sets from two clinical trials are provided. The proposed artificial neural network (ANN) approach can be applied for the estimation of the functional relationships between covariates and time in survival data to improve model predictivity in the presence of complex prognostic relationships.
生存分析中的灵活建模对于探索性和预测性目的都可能很有用。最近,通过对离散和连续时间模型进行推广,前馈神经网络被用于对删失生存数据进行灵活的非线性建模。我们表明,通过将时间间隔作为具有逻辑激活和熵误差函数的标准前馈网络中的输入变量,可以将平滑离散风险估计为失败的条件概率。我们考虑了一种易于实现的方法,并采用了快速选择最佳配置的标准。提供了来自两项临床试验数据集的示例。所提出的人工神经网络(ANN)方法可用于估计生存数据中协变量与时间之间的函数关系,以在存在复杂预后关系的情况下提高模型的预测能力。