Duncan T E, Duncan S C, Hops H
Oregon Research Institute, Eugene 97403-1983, USA.
J Stud Alcohol. 1998 Jul;59(4):399-408. doi: 10.15288/jsa.1998.59.399.
This article demonstrates use of a latent variable model for longitudinal data which encompasses nested structures. Using Multilevel Latent Growth Modeling (LGM), levels of alcohol use and development of alcohol use over 4 years were examined among individuals (adolescents and parents) nested within families.
An LGM model was tested for alcohol use with a sample of 435 families (435 target adolescents, 203 sibling and 566 parents [168 fathers and 398 mothers]). Adolescents (targets and siblings) comprised 312 boys and 326 girls, with a mean (+/-SD) age at Time 1 (T1) of 13.69 +/- 1.95 years. It was hypothesized that there would be homogeneity in level and development of alcohol use among family members and heterogeneity in alcohol use and development across families. The effects of family status (single-parent, two-parent intact and stepparent families) and socioeconomic status (SES) on family levels of alcohol use were also examined.
Results suggested that stepparent families, and less educated and more economically disadvantaged families, had higher family levels of alcohol use and developed in their use of alcohol at a faster rate.
Findings suggest that the alcohol use of individuals in the same family is more alike than that of individuals from different families and that family alcohol use may be influenced by family-level variables such as family status or SES. Methods such as those presented, which incorporate family-level clustering, are likely to provide additional information regarding the etiology of alcohol use and risk factors for alcohol use within and across families.
本文展示了一种用于包含嵌套结构的纵向数据的潜变量模型。使用多水平潜变量增长模型(LGM),在嵌套于家庭中的个体(青少年和父母)中,研究了4年期间的酒精使用水平和酒精使用的发展情况。
对435个家庭(435名目标青少年、203名兄弟姐妹和566名父母[168名父亲和398名母亲])的样本进行了酒精使用的LGM模型测试。青少年(目标和兄弟姐妹)包括312名男孩和326名女孩,在时间1(T1)的平均(±标准差)年龄为13.69±1.95岁。假设家庭成员之间在酒精使用水平和发展方面存在同质性,而不同家庭之间在酒精使用和发展方面存在异质性。还研究了家庭状况(单亲、双亲完整和继父母家庭)和社会经济地位(SES)对家庭酒精使用水平的影响。
结果表明,继父母家庭以及受教育程度较低和经济上更处于不利地位的家庭,其家庭酒精使用水平较高,且酒精使用发展速度更快。
研究结果表明,同一家庭中个体的酒精使用比不同家庭中个体的酒精使用更相似,并且家庭酒精使用可能受到家庭层面变量如家庭状况或SES的影响。本文所介绍的纳入家庭层面聚类的方法,可能会提供有关家庭内部和家庭之间酒精使用病因及酒精使用风险因素的更多信息。