Geographic variation in viral load among hepatitis B carriers with differing risks of hepatocellular carcinoma.

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) varies significantly among hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers from different geographic regions. We compared serological markers of HBV infection in adult male carriers from Haimen City, China and Senegal, West Africa, where the prevalence of chronic infection is similar. HCC mortality among HBV carriers is much higher in Haimen City than it is in Senegal (age-standardized rate, 878 versus 68 per l0(5) person-years). A dramatic difference was observed when HBV DNA levels in serum were assessed among carriers by Southern blot. In the Senegalese group (n = 289), 14.5% were HBV DNA positive by Southern blot in their 20s, and this percentage declined in each subsequent decade of age to 3.3, 2.9, and 0% thereafter. In the Chinese group (n = 285), a higher prevalence of HBV DNA positivity and a less consistent reduction were seen; 29.4% were positive in their 20s, and 30.2, 23.6, and 20.6%, respectively, were positive in each subsequent decade of age. Among 102 male Asian-American HBV carriers, the prevalence of HBV DNA positivity was intermediate between the Chinese and Senegalese populations (36.8, 10.7, 3.0, and 4.6% in each subsequent decade of age). Viral titers were similar among those who were HBV DNA positive in all three populations [median value, 10(7) virions/ml (range, 10(6)-10(9) virions/ml)]. The presence of HBV DNA in serum was positively associated with serum glutathione S-transferase, a marker of liver damage. These findings suggest that the more prolonged maintenance of productive virus infection in the Chinese carriers compared with the Senegalese carriers may explain their higher risk of HCC. This profound difference in the natural history of chronic infection may be due to earlier age of infection in China or to as yet unknown environmental or genetic factors.