Willett W C
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Semin Cancer Biol. 1998 Aug;8(4):245-53. doi: 10.1006/scbi.1998.0076.
Strong correlations among countries between per capita dietary fat consumption and rates of cancers of the breast, colon, and rectum have suggested possible causal relationships. However, in large prospective studies, total fat intake has not been associated with risk of breast cancer, suggesting that the international correlations are seriously confounded by differences in other variables related to affluence, including reproductive variables, physical activity, and food availability. For colon and prostate cancer, the data from prospective studies are more limited, but also suggest that fat per se is not a risk factor. High red meat consumption may be related to risk of colon cancer independent of total fat intake, and some factor associated with consumption of animal fat, but not vegetable fat, appears to be related to risk of prostate cancer. Excess body fat, which is determined by the balance between physical activity and energy intake from all sources, is an important cause of post-menopausal breast cancer and probably colon cancer. These developments suggest that international comparisons of diets and disease rates should be interpreted cautiously and may be highly misleading.
各国人均膳食脂肪摄入量与乳腺癌、结肠癌和直肠癌发病率之间的强相关性表明可能存在因果关系。然而,在大型前瞻性研究中,总脂肪摄入量与乳腺癌风险并无关联,这表明国际间的相关性受到与富裕程度相关的其他变量差异的严重混淆,这些变量包括生殖变量、身体活动和食物供应情况。对于结肠癌和前列腺癌,前瞻性研究的数据更为有限,但也表明脂肪本身并非风险因素。高红肉消费量可能与结肠癌风险相关,且独立于总脂肪摄入量,与动物脂肪而非植物脂肪消费相关的某些因素似乎与前列腺癌风险有关。身体脂肪过多由身体活动与所有来源能量摄入之间的平衡决定,是绝经后乳腺癌以及可能的结肠癌的重要成因。这些进展表明,对饮食和疾病发生率进行国际比较时应谨慎解读,否则可能会产生极大误导。